Climate risk scenarios of orange rust for the sugarcane - producing regions of Argentina and Brazil.

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dc.contributorFRANCISLENE ANGELOTTI, CPATSA; CRISTINA DEL CARMEM MORALES, Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria, Argentina; EMILIA HAMADA, CNPMA; EDUARDO MATIAS BISONARD, Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria, Argentina; RENATA RIBEIRO DO VALLE GONÇALVES, Unicamp; ALEJANDRO MARIO RAGO, Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria, Argentina.
dc.creatorANGELOTTI, F.
dc.creatorCARMEM MORALES, C. del
dc.creatorHAMADA, E.
dc.creatorBISONARD, E. M.
dc.creatorGONÇALVES, R. R. do V.
dc.creatorMARIO RAGO, A.
dc.date2022-12-02T12:01:33Z
dc.date2022-12-02T12:01:33Z
dc.date2022-12-02
dc.date2022
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-07T05:57:32Z
dc.descriptionRisk analysis of climate change on the spatial distribution of sugarcane orange rust (Puccinia kuehnii) is a strategic study for plant protection tominimize future damages. The objective of this work was to evaluate the potential risk of the occurrence of orange rust in Argentina and Brazil under the climate change scenarios. A mapping methodology integrated the data of climate projections and the phytosanitary problem supported by Geographic Information System (GIS). Normal climate 1961-1990) and future climate (2011-2040, 2041-2070, and 2071-2100) from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change were considered.The conditions of climatic favorability for the occurrence of the disease were established by means mathematical logic criteria of GIS, based on knowledge of the authors, who incorporated the implicit effects of the interaction of the virulent Pathogen, susceptible host, and predisposing environmental characteristics. The favorability for the occurrence of sugarcane orange rust in the main sugarcane producing regions of Argentina and Brazil varied over the months considered of the cultivation cycle. For Argentina, the future climate scenarios predicted a reduction in favorability for the occurrence of sugarcane orange rust from December to February and an increase in April. In Brazil, the climatic favorability decreased from December to March and increased in May.
dc.identifierResearch, Society and Development, v. 11, n.15, e428111536648, 2022.
dc.identifier2525-3409
dc.identifierhttp://www.alice.cnptia.embrapa.br/alice/handle/doc/1149119
dc.identifierhttp://dx.doi.org/10.33448/rsd-v11i15.36648
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/503367
dc.languageeng
dc.rightsopenAccess
dc.subjectFavorabilidade climática
dc.subjectRisco Climático
dc.subjectMudança Climática
dc.subjectCana de Açúcar
dc.subjectFerrugem Alaranjada
dc.subjectDoença
dc.subjectPuccinia kuehnii
dc.subjectTemperature
dc.subjectClimate change
dc.subjectBrazil
dc.subjectSugarcane
dc.titleClimate risk scenarios of orange rust for the sugarcane - producing regions of Argentina and Brazil.
dc.typeArtigo de periódico

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