Optimal Targeting under Budget Constraints in a Humanitarian Context
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World Bank, Washington, DC
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The combination of conflict, food
insecurity, and displacement generates competing claims for
financial resources that stretch the donors' ability to
provide funding and the humanitarian organizations'
capacity to provide social assistance. The paper uses
Receiver Operating Characteristic curves and related indexes
to determine the optimal targeting strategy of a food
voucher program for refugees. The estimations focus on the
2014 food vouchers administered by the World Food Programme
to Syrian refugees in Jordan. The analysis uses data
collected by the United Nations High Commissioner for
Refugees. Based on a poverty model, Receiver Operating
Characteristic curves are used to optimize coverage and
leakage rates under budget constraints. The paper shows how
policy makers can use these instruments to fine-tune
targeting using coverage rates, budgets, or poverty lines as
guiding principles to increase the overall efficiency of a
program. As humanitarian organizations operate under
increasing budget constraints and increasing demands for
efficiency, the proposed approach addresses both concerns.
Palabras clave
FOOD VOUCHERS, TARGETING, REFUGEES, RECEIVER OPERATING CHARACTERISTICS CURVE, HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE, DISPLACED PEOPLES, FOOD SECURITY, SOCIAL ASSISTANCE, WORLD FOOD PROGRAM, POVERTY LINE, BUDGETARY EFFICIENCY