Assessing Low-Carbon Development in Nigeria : An Analysis of Four Sectors
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Washington, DC: World Bank
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The Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN)
and the World Bank have agreed to carry out a Climate Change
Assessment (CCA) within the framework of the Bank's
Country Partnership Strategy (CPS) for Nigeria (2010-13).
The CCA includes an analysis of options for low-carbon
development in selected sectors, including power, oil and
gas, transport, and agriculture. The goal of the low-carbon
analysis is to define likely trends in carbon emissions up
to 2035, based on government sector development plans, and
to identify opportunities for achieving equivalent
development objectives with a reduced carbon footprint. This
study comprises the following components: (i) development of
a reference scenario of greenhouse gas (GHG) net emissions
for the agriculture sector, consistent with vision 20: 2020
and other government plans; (ii) identification of
opportunities for reduced net emissions- reduced emissions
and or enhanced carbon sequestration- while achieving the
same development objectives as in the reference scenario;
and (iii) economic assessment of low-carbon options in order
to help the Nigerian government to prioritize policy
options. The study evaluates costs and benefits in a partial
equilibrium setting, with no attempt to capture the
indirect, general equilibrium effects of adopting low-carbon
technologies or management practices. The results of this
analysis (the first of its kind in Nigeria) should be
considered as a first approximation of the potential for
low-carbon development in the Nigerian agriculture sector.
The study aims at providing policy makers with an
order-of-magnitude estimate of mitigation potential, and an
understanding of the value of dedicating further efforts
(including through specific projects) at pursuing low-carbon
development in agriculture, but is not meant to inform the
design of specific, project-level interventions.
Palabras clave
ABATEMENT POTENTIAL, AFFORESTATION, AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION, AIR, AIR CONDITIONERS, AIR QUALITY, ALTERNATIVE FUELS, ANNUAL EMISSIONS, ATMOSPHERE, BIOMASS, BUS, BUS SERVICES, CAPITAL COST, CAPITAL COSTS, CAR, CAR OWNERSHIP, CARBON ABATEMENT, CARBON BALANCE, CARBON CAPTURE, CARBON DIOXIDE, CARBON EMISSION, CARBON EMISSIONS, CARBON FINANCE, CARBON FOOTPRINT, CARBON INTENSITY, CARBON MARKET, CARBON MARKETS, CARBON POLICIES, CARBON PRICE, CARBON TECHNOLOGIES, CARBON TRANSPORT, CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT, CH4, CITY TRANSPORT, CLEAN DEVELOPMENT MECHANISM, CLEAN TECHNOLOGY, CLIMATE, CLIMATE ANALYSIS INDICATORS, CLIMATE CHANGE, CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION, CLIMATE RESILIENCE, CLIMATE VARIABILITY, CLIMATIC CONDITIONS, CO, CO2, COAL, COLORS, CONDITIONERS, CONGESTION, COST SAVINGS, DECISION MAKING, DEFORESTATION, DEMAND FOR TRANSPORT, DEMAND FOR TRANSPORT SERVICES, DIESEL, ECONOMIC ANALYSIS, ECONOMIC BENEFITS, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, ECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM, ECONOMIC GROWTH, ECONOMIC SECTORS, ECONOMICS, ELECTRICITY, ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION, ELECTRICITY DEMAND, ELECTRICITY GENERATION, ELECTRICITY SECTOR, ELECTRICITY SUPPLY, EMISSION, EMISSION REDUCTION, EMISSION REDUCTIONS, EMISSIONS FROM LAND USE, EMISSIONS FROM LAND USE CHANGE, EMISSIONS LEVELS, EMISSIONS REDUCTION, EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS, ENERGY EFFICIENCY, ENERGY MIX, ENERGY PRODUCTION, ENERGY SAVINGS, ENERGY SECURITY, ENERGY SOURCES, ENVIRONMENTAL, ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION, ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES, EQUILIBRIUM, EXPENDITURES, FARMS, FEASIBILITY, FINANCIAL INCENTIVES, FINANCIAL MARKETS, FINANCIAL SUPPORT, FLEET MANAGEMENT, FOOD POLICY RESEARCH, FORESTRY, FORESTS, FOSSIL FUEL, FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE, FREIGHT, FREIGHT HANDLING, FREIGHT MANAGEMENT, FREIGHT TRANSPORT, FUEL CONSUMPTION, FUEL COSTS, FUEL EFFICIENCY, FUEL OIL, FUEL SAVINGS, FUEL TYPE, FUELS, FUGITIVE EMISSIONS, GAS, GAS FLARING, GAS PRICES, GAS PRODUCTION, GAS SECTOR, GAS SUPPLY, GAS TURBINE, GAS TURBINES, GENERATION CAPACITY, GENERATION MIX, GHG, GHGS, GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT FACILITY, GLOBAL WARMING, GLOBAL WARMING POTENTIAL, GREENHOUSE, GREENHOUSE GAS, GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS, GREENHOUSE GASES, GREENHOUSE WARMING, GWP, HFCS, HIGH CAR OWNERSHIP, HISTORICAL EMISSION, HISTORICAL EMISSIONS, IMPACT OF TRANSPORT, IMPORTS, INSOLATION, INSPECTION, INTEGRATED TRANSPORT PLANNING, IPCC, IRRADIATION, JOBS, LAND DEGRADATION, LAND MANAGEMENT, LAND USE, LAND USE CHANGE, LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS, LIQUEFIED PETROLEUM GAS, LNG, LOW-CARBON, LOWER CARBON EMISSIONS, MARGINAL ABATEMENT, MARGINAL ABATEMENT COST, MARGINAL ABATEMENT COSTS, MARGINAL COST, MASS TRANSIT, MEANS OF TRANSPORT, MILEAGE, MINES, MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT, MODAL SHIFT, MONETARY BENEFITS, N2O, NATIONAL INCOME, NATURAL GAS, NATURAL RESOURCES, O&M, OIL PRODUCTION, PASSENGER TRANSPORT, PASTURES, PETROLEUM PRODUCTS, PFCS, PHOTOVOLTAICS, PHYSICS, POLICY RELEVANCE, PORTFOLIO, POWER GENERATION, POWER PLANTS, POWER SECTOR, POWER TECHNOLOGIES, PREFERENTIAL ACCESS, PRESENT VALUE, PRIVATE CAR OWNERSHIP, PROVEN RESERVES, PSC, PSCS, PUBLIC TRANSPORT, PURCHASING POWER, QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS, RAIL, RAIL SERVICES, RAINFALL, RAPID TRANSIT, RATES OF DEFORESTATION, RENEWABLE ENERGY, RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES, RESETTLEMENT, ROAD, ROAD INFRASTRUCTURE, ROAD TRANSPORT, ROAD VEHICLES, SCENARIOS, SF6, SMALL HYDROPOWER, SOLAR POWER, SOLAR RADIATION, STORMS, SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, SUSTAINABLE GROWTH, TAX, TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE, TOTAL EMISSIONS, TRADEOFFS, TRAFFIC, TRAFFIC CONGESTION, TRANSPARENCY, TRANSPORT, TRANSPORT DEMAND, TRANSPORT OF GOODS, TRANSPORT SECTOR, TRANSPORT SERVICES, TRANSPORTATION, TRANSPORTATION IMPACT, TRAVEL TIME, UNCERTAINTIES, URBAN BUSES, URBAN TRANSPORT, VEHICLE, VEHICLE EFFICIENCY, VEHICLE FLEET, VEHICLE KILOMETERS, VEHICLE OWNERSHIP, VEHICLE POPULATION, VEHICLES, WETLANDS, WIND