Relationships between Quarterly Corn Prices and Stocks

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This article estimates a model relating quarterly corn prices to quarterly corn stocks for 1971-81 Results are, consistent With expectations that higher stocks many specific quarter Yield lower corn prices and that any given level of stocks later m the marketing year Yields lower prices than does the same level earlier m the marketing year Preharvest information on the new crop affects prices m the June-September quarter The relationships estimated here enable analysts to forecast corn prices and to respond to other Situation and outlook questions

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