The impact of import surges: country case study results for Senegal and Tanzania
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Measuring the impacts of import surges is a difficult task, but simple case studies illustrate some of the fundamental issues. From the two case studies examined in this paper, it was found that the impacts vary markedly in different settings and for different commodities. Thus, for example, while the negative impact on Senegal’s broiler industry came out clearly, import surges were not an issue in the case of dairy products. This was because dairy imports, although high, had increased steadily over a longer period of time and as a result the local industry had adjusted. In the case of Tanzania, some negative effects were found for the dairy sub-sector but only limited effects on poultry. In both countries, rapid growth in poultry imports also revealed the weaknesses of the domestic processing industry in competing with imported products, particularly in situations where there has been rapid growth in demand for further processed quality products by supermarkets and hotels which the lo cal industry has failed to supply.