Do ultra-poor graduation programs build resilience against droughts? Evidence from rural Ethiopia

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dc.creatorHirvonen, Kalle
dc.creatorGilligan, Daniel O.
dc.creatorLeight, Jessica
dc.creatorTambet, Heleene
dc.creatorVilla, Victor
dc.date2023-11-28
dc.date2023-12-01T21:03:55Z
dc.date2023-12-01T21:03:55Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:39:46Z
dc.descriptionWe study the role of a multifaceted ultra-poor graduation program in protecting household wellbeing and women’s welfare from the effects of localized droughts in Ethiopia. We use data from a large experimental trial of an integrated livelihood and nutrition intervention that supplemented the consumption support provided by Ethiopia’s Productive Safety Net Program (PSNP), conducted within a sample in which all households were beneficiaries of the PSNP. We match three rounds of household survey data to detailed satellite weather data to identify community-level exposure to droughts. We then exploit random assignment to the graduation program to evaluate whether exposed households show heterogeneous effects of drought on household food security and livestock holdings, women’s diets and nutritional status, and prevalence of intimate partner violence (IPV). We find that droughts have substantial negative effects on these outcomes, but the intervention serves to consistently moderate these effects, and for some outcomes (particularly diets and nutrition and IPV), the intervention fully protects households from any adverse drought affects. A further analysis exploits variation across treatment arms that received different program elements and suggests that the primary mechanism is enhanced household savings.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/134921
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/110964
dc.languageen
dc.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Institute
dc.relationhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/143065
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceHirvonen, Kalle; Gilligan, Daniel O.; Leight, Jessica; Tambet, Heleene; and Villa, Victor. 2023. Do ultra-poor graduation programs build resilience against droughts? Evidence from rural Ethiopia. IFPRI Discussion Paper 2206. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.137000.
dc.subjectresilience
dc.subjectshocks
dc.subjectweather
dc.subjectclimate change
dc.subjectsocial safety nets
dc.subjectpoverty
dc.subjecthouseholds
dc.subjectwelfare
dc.subjectwomen
dc.subjectlivelihoods
dc.subjectnutrition
dc.subjectdrought
dc.subjectfood security
dc.subjectlivestock
dc.subjectgender
dc.titleDo ultra-poor graduation programs build resilience against droughts? Evidence from rural Ethiopia
dc.typeWorking Paper

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Instituto Internacional de Investigación sobre Políticas Alimentarias (IFPRI)