Effects of weather shocks on wheat prices in Central Asia

dc.creatorMirzabaev, Alisher
dc.creatorTsegai, Daniel
dc.date2017-04-01T13:56:04Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-09T09:53:29Z
dc.descriptionHigher weather volatility may be reflected in higher incidences of weather shocks. Weather shocks could potentially affect the supply of agricultural commodities and their prices. In this study, the effects of weather shocks on agricultural commodity prices in Central Asia are investigated at the provincial scale using monthly data for the period of 2000-2010. The study uses an estimation method, where the idiosyncratic components of the variables are analyzed using Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS) panel regression in the presence of cross-sectional dependence and serial autocorrelation. The analysis indicates that weather volatility and, especially, the fluctuations in the availability of irrigation water have statistically significant effects on wheat prices in Central Asia. Weather shocks, involving lower than usual temperatures and precipitation amounts, could create favorable conditions for higher wheat prices in the region.
dc.identifierdoi:10.22004/ag.econ.212466
dc.identifierhttps://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/212466/files/Mirzabaev-Effects%20of%20weather%20shocks%20on%20wheat%20prices%20in%20Central%20Asia-1248.pdf
dc.identifierhttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/212466
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/613358
dc.languageeng
dc.publisher
dc.sourcehttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/212466
dc.titleEffects of weather shocks on wheat prices in Central Asia
dc.typeText

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