How Many Infants May Have Died in Low-Income and Middle-Income Countries in 2020 Due to the Economic Contraction Accompanying the COVID-19 Pandemic? Mortality Projections Based on Forecasted Declines in Economic Growth

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dc.creatorShapira, Gil
dc.creatorde Walque, Damien
dc.creatorFriedman, Jed
dc.date2021-11-19T16:01:44Z
dc.date2021-11-19T16:01:44Z
dc.date2021-08
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-01T00:37:35Z
dc.descriptionWhile COVID-19 has a relatively small direct impact on infant mortality, the pandemic is expected to indirectly increase mortality of this vulnerable group in low-income and middle-income countries through its effects on the economy and health system performance. Previous studies projected indirect mortality by modelling how hypothesized disruptions in health services will affect health outcomes. We provide alternative projections, relying on modelling the relationship between aggregate income shocks and mortality. The findings underscore the vulnerability of infants to the negative income shocks such as those imposed by the COVID-19 pandemic. While efforts towards prevention and treatment of COVID-19 remain paramount, the global community should also strengthen social safety nets and assure continuity of essential health services.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifierBMJ Open
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/36613
dc.identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1596/36613
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/407678
dc.publisherBMJ Publishing Group, Ltd.
dc.rightsCC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo
dc.rightsWorld Bank
dc.subjectCORONAVIRUS
dc.subjectCOVID-19
dc.subjectPANDEMIC IMPACT
dc.subjectINFANT MORTALITY
dc.subjectDEMOGRAPHIC AND HEALTH SURVEY
dc.subjectREGRESSION MODEL
dc.subjectECONOMIC DOWNTURN
dc.subjectEOCNOMIC SHOCK
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD INCOME
dc.titleHow Many Infants May Have Died in Low-Income and Middle-Income Countries in 2020 Due to the Economic Contraction Accompanying the COVID-19 Pandemic? Mortality Projections Based on Forecasted Declines in Economic Growth
dc.typeJournal Article
dc.typeArticle de journal
dc.typeArtículo de revista

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