Hedging Effectiveness Around U.S. Department of Agriculture Crop Reports
No hay miniatura disponible
Fecha
Título de la revista
ISSN de la revista
Título del volumen
Editor
Resumen
Descripción
It is well documented that ‘‘unanticipated’’ information contained in United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) crop reports induces large price reactions in corn and soybean markets. Thus, a natural question that arises from this literature is: To what extent are futures hedges able to remove or reduce increased price risk around report release dates? This paper addresses this question by simulating daily futures returns, daily cash returns, and
daily hedged returns around report release dates for two storable commodities (corn and
soybeans) in two market settings (North Central Illinois and Memphis, Tennessee). Various risk measures, including ‘‘Value at Risk,’’ are used to determine hedging effectiveness, and ‘‘Analysis of Variance’’ is used to uncover the underlying factors that contribute to hedging effectiveness.