A model of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia transmission dynamics in East Africa

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dc.creatorMariner, Jeffrey C.
dc.creatorMcDermott, John J.
dc.creatorHeesterbeek, J.A.P.
dc.creatorThomson, G.
dc.creatorMartin, S.W.
dc.date2006-01
dc.date2013-07-03T05:26:06Z
dc.date2013-07-03T05:26:06Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T16:39:07Z
dc.descriptionThe dynamics of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia (CBPP) transmission vary widely between livestock production systems. This paper describes the development of a homogeneous, stochastic, compartmental model for CBPP transmission in pastoral herds of East Africa. The model was built using parameter estimates based on data published in the literature and on observations of livestock owners obtained through participatory research. The basic reproduction number for CBPP in southern Sudan was estimated to range from 3.2 to 4.6. The homogeneous model indicates that the critical community size for the persistence of CBPP falls within the typical herd sizes for pastoral communities in East Africa suggesting that individual isolated herds are capable of maintaining infection indefinitely. Vaccination alone with currently available vaccines was unlikely to eradicate the disease.
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/33124
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/129331
dc.languageen
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.rightsLimited Access
dc.sourcePreventive Veterinary Medicine;73(1): 55-74
dc.subjectcontagious bovine pleuropneumonia
dc.subjectepidemiology
dc.subjectpolicies
dc.subjectmodels
dc.titleA model of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia transmission dynamics in East Africa
dc.typeJournal Article

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Instituto Internacional de Investigaciones Pecuarias (ILRI)