Inclusive agricultural insurance for sustainable wheat intensification as a pathway to smallholder resilience in Ethiopia

dc.creatorEbrahim, Mohammed
dc.date2025-12-24
dc.date2026-01-14T12:30:57Z
dc.date2026-01-14T12:30:57Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T13:35:37Z
dc.descriptionThis study addresses the pressing need for inclusive and scalable agricultural insurance solutions for smallholder wheat farmers in Ethiopia, who face persistent yield risks across diverse agroecologies and farming systems. Despite the proven benefits of sustainable intensification (SI), adoption remains low due to risk exposure, financial constraints, and limited access to insurance. Existing area-based index insurance models often fail to reflect localized realities, resulting in high basis risk and poor uptake. To bridge this gap, this research will develop a dynamic farm-level and area yield index insurance model integrating sustainable intensification (SI) practices and risk based farm typologies. The model will combine remote sensing, geospatial, and ground-truth agronomic data through machine learning and simulation to enable accurate yield prediction and premium estimation. Once calibrated, it will function with minimal inputs like NDVI, weather data, and location ensuring cost-effective, scalable, and timely payouts. The research will also evaluate the risk-reducing effects of SI, estimate SI-sensitive premiums, and assess adoption drivers and farmers’ willingness to pay to ensure alignment with smallholders’ needs. Beyond compensating losses, the study envisions insurance as a driver of technology adoption and farm investment. Developing such holistic tools can enhance resilience and environmental sustainability.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/179819
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/64261
dc.languageen
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceEbrahim, M. (2025) Inclusive agricultural insurance for sustainable wheat intensification as a pathway to smallholder resilience in Ethiopia. [PhD Dissertation Research Proposal] Mohammed VI Polytechnic University, College of Agriculture and Environmental Science. 92 p.
dc.subjectsmallholders
dc.subjectsustainable intensification
dc.subjectyields
dc.subjectmachine learning
dc.subjectwheat
dc.subjectinsurance
dc.titleInclusive agricultural insurance for sustainable wheat intensification as a pathway to smallholder resilience in Ethiopia
dc.typeProposal

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