The Effect of Weather-Induced Internal Migration on Local Labor Markets : Evidence from Uganda
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World Bank, Washington, DC
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Relying on census data collected in 2002
and historical weather data for Uganda, this paper estimates
the impact of weather-induced internal migration on the
probability for non-migrants living in the destination
regions to be employed. Consistent with the prediction of a
simple theoretical model, the results reveal a larger
negative impact than the one documented for developed
countries. They further show that this negative impact is
significantly stronger in Ugandan regions with lower road
density and therefore less conducive to capital mobility: a
10 percentage points increase in the net in-migration rate
in these areas decreases the probability of being employed
of non-migrants by more than 10 percentage points.
Palabras clave
ACCESS TO TRANSPORTATION, ADJUSTMENT PROCESS, AGGLOMERATION ECONOMIES, BULLETIN, CAPACITY BUILDING, CAPITAL MOBILITY, CHANCE OF SURVIVAL, CIVIL CONFLICT, CLIMATE CHANGE, CLIMATIC CHANGE, CONGESTION, CONSUMPTION SMOOTHING, COUNTRY COMPARISONS, CROPLAND, CROSS-SECTIONAL DATA, CULTURAL CHANGE, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, DEVELOPMENT OF REGION, DEVELOPMENT POLICY, ECONOMIC CONDITIONS, ECONOMIC GROWTH, ECONOMIC MOBILITY, ECONOMIC SHOCKS, ECONOMIC SURVEYS, ELASTICITIES, ELASTICITY, EMPLOYMENT EFFECTS, EMPLOYMENT OUTCOMES, EMPLOYMENT PROBABILITY, EMPLOYMENT STATUS, ENTRY COSTS, ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS, EXCLUSION RESTRICTION, EXTERNALITIES, FARMERS, FIRM PRODUCTIVITY, FOOD CONSUMPTION, FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT, FREIGHT, HIGHWAY, HIGHWAYS, HOST COUNTRY, HUMAN ACTIVITY, HUMAN RESOURCES, IMMIGRANT, IMMIGRANTS, IMMIGRATION, IMPACT OF MIGRATION, INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT, INFORMAL SECTOR, INFORMATION SYSTEM, INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT, INSURANCE, INTERNAL MIGRATION, INTERNATIONAL MIGRANTS, INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION, INTERNATIONAL TRADE, INTERSTATE HIGHWAY SYSTEM, JOB OPPORTUNITIES, JOB SEARCH, JOB-SEEKERS, LABOR ECONOMICS, LABOR FORCE, LABOR MARKET, LABOR MARKET IMPACT, LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES, LABOR MARKETS, LABOR RELATIONS, LABOR SUPPLY, LABOUR, LABOUR MARKET, LABOUR MARKET INSTITUTIONS, LABOUR MARKETS, LOCAL LABOR MARKET, LOCAL LABOR MARKETS, LOW-INCOME COUNTRY, MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY, MIGRANT, MIGRANTS, MIGRATION FLOW, MIGRATION FLOWS, MORTALITY, MUNICIPALITIES, NUMBER OF MIGRANTS, OCCUPATION, PLACE OF RESIDENCE, POLICY DISCUSSIONS, POLICY IMPLICATIONS, POLICY RESEARCH, POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER, POPULATION MOVEMENTS, POPULATION SIZE, PRIMARY SCHOOL, PRODUCTION FUNCTION, PRODUCTIVITY, PROGRESS, PULL FACTORS, RAILROADS, REAL WAGE, REGIONAL AVERAGES, REGIONAL BREAKDOWN, REGIONAL CHARACTERISTICS, REGIONAL DIFFERENCES, REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION, REGIONAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, REGIONAL LEVEL, REGIONAL SCIENCE, REGIONAL STUDIES, REGIONAL VARIATIONS, REMITTANCES, RESPECT, ROAD INFRASTRUCTURE, ROAD NETWORK, ROAD TRANSPORT, ROADS, ROUTE, RURAL AREA, RURAL AREAS, RURAL INFRASTRUCTURE, RURAL ROAD, SMALL ENTERPRISES, STATISTICAL ESTIMATION, TRANSACTION COSTS, TRANSPORT, TRANSPORT COSTS, TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE, TRANSPORTATION, TRANSPORTATION COSTS, TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE, TRANSPORTATION STATISTICS, UNEMPLOYED, UNEMPLOYED PERSONS, UNEMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, URBAN AREAS, URBAN GROWTH, URBAN MIGRATION, URBANIZATION, WAGE EFFECTS, WAGE IMPACT, WAGES, WORKER, WORKERS