Disruptions to agrifood value chains in fragile and conflict-affected states: Evidence from Myanmar

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dc.creatorGoeb, Joseph
dc.creatorMinten, Bart
dc.creatorAung, Zin Wai
dc.creatorHtar, May Thet
dc.creatorSabai, Moe
dc.creatorSyntb, Kham Nang Lun
dc.creatorZu, A Myint
dc.creatorMahrt, Kristi
dc.date2026-04
dc.date2025-05-13T14:59:17Z
dc.date2025-05-13T14:59:17Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:32:50Z
dc.descriptionAgrifood value chains (AVCs) play crucial roles in food security in fragile and conflict-affected economies where there are widespread challenges and disruptions to business operations, food access, and incomes. Yet, given these challenges, safe data collection is challenging in conflict-affected settings and, as a result, the evidence on the disruptions AVC businesses face is thin. In this paper, we rely on novel panel data from AVC businesses in Myanmar, one of 7 countries in the world with extreme conflict. This short paper documents the disruptions experienced by businesses at several levels of the food supply chain, including farmers, input retailers, crop traders, rice millers, and food vendors. We also provide evidence on the implications for prices by analyzing price changes over this period: farm input and sales prices using farm survey data, food retail using data from food vendors, and dietary cost estimates combining consumption and price data. Our results highlight vulnerabilities in food supply chains in fragile and conflict-affected settings. Potential opportunities to strengthen food supply chains in such settings include ensuring access to banking and financial services; minimizing transportation disruptions to mitigate widening gaps between producer and consumer prices; and maintaining access to fuel and electricity as well as cellphone internet networks. Efforts to support these areas could stabilize food availability and reduce food prices, while also increasing farm-gate shares of food prices thereby supporting rural incomes. JEL codes: Q13; Q11; 013
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/174563
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/107456
dc.languageen
dc.publisherBrill
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceGoeb, Joseph; Minten, Bart; Aung, Zin Wai; Htar, May Thet; Sabai, Moe; et al. 2026. Disruptions to agrifood value chains in fragile and conflict-affected states: Evidence from Myanmar. International Food and Agribusiness Management Review 29(1): 52–61. https://doi.org/10.22434/ifamr.1204
dc.subjectagrifood systems
dc.subjectvalue chains
dc.subjectconflicts
dc.subjectfood security
dc.subjectprices
dc.titleDisruptions to agrifood value chains in fragile and conflict-affected states: Evidence from Myanmar
dc.typeJournal Article

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Instituto Internacional de Investigación sobre Políticas Alimentarias (IFPRI)