FAO Food Chain Crisis Early Warning Bulletin
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During the period April to June 2018, Food Chain Crisis (FCC) threats are expected to occur in the regions of Africa, Americas, Asia, Europe, and Oceania where they can persist within a country, spread to neighbouring countries, remain latent, or re-emerge/amplify at a certain time.
The dynamic and likelihood of occurrence of FCC threats depend on a number of risk factors or drivers. These include agro-ecological factors (e.g. intensive farming systems, deforestation, overgrazing, etc.), climate change (e.g. droughts, flooding, heavy rains, heat waves, the El Nino-Southern Oscillation -ENSO, changes in vegetation cover, water temperature, etc.), human behaviour (e.g. cultural practices, conflicts and civil insecurity, trade, etc.) and natural disasters.
In relation to food security, and according to the last “Crop prospects and food situation” report (January- March 2018), FAO estimates that, globally, 37 countries (29 in Africa, 7 in Asia and 1 in Americas) are in need of external assistance for food. Conflicts continue to be the main factor driving the high levels of severe food
insecurity. Weather shocks have also adversely impacted food availability and access, notably in East Africa. FCC threats might compound food insecurity in fragile countries stricken by weather shocks and conflicts.