Whence the next pandemic? The intersecting global geography of the animal-human interface, poor health systems and air transit centrality reveals conduits for high-impact spillover

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dc.creatorWalsh, Markus G.
dc.creatorSawleshwarkar, S.
dc.creatorHossain, S.
dc.creatorMor, Siobhan M.
dc.date2020-12
dc.date2020-10-14T07:59:18Z
dc.date2020-10-14T07:59:18Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T17:16:31Z
dc.descriptionThe health and economic impacts of infectious disease pandemics are catastrophic as most recently manifested by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The emerging infections that lead to substantive epidemics or pandemics are typically zoonoses that cross species boundaries at vulnerable points of animal-human interface. The sharing of space between wildlife and humans, and their domesticated animals, has dramatically increased in recent decades and is a key driver of pathogen spillover. Increasing animal-human interface has also occurred in concert with both increasing globalisation and failing health systems, resulting in a trifecta with dire implications for human and animal health. Nevertheless, to date we lack a geographical description of this trifecta that can be applied strategically to pandemic prevention. This investigation provides the first geographical quantification of the intersection of animal-human interfaces, poor human health system performance and global connectivity via the network of air travel. In so doing, this work provides a systematic, data-driven approach to classifying spillover hazard based on the distribution of animal-human interfaces while simultaneously identifying globally connected cities that are adjacent to these interfaces and which may facilitate global pathogen dissemination. We present this geography of high-impact spillover as a tool for developing targeted surveillance systems and improved health infrastructure in vulnerable areas that may present conduits for future pandemics.
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/109827
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/147431
dc.languageen
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceWalsh, M.G., Sawleshwarkar, S., Hossain, S. and Mor, S.M. 2020. Whence the next pandemic? The intersecting global geography of the animal-human interface, poor health systems and air transit centrality reveals conduits for high-impact spillover. One Health 11: 100177.
dc.subjectzoonoses
dc.subjecthealth
dc.subjectwildlife
dc.subjectanimal diseases
dc.subjectpandemics
dc.titleWhence the next pandemic? The intersecting global geography of the animal-human interface, poor health systems and air transit centrality reveals conduits for high-impact spillover
dc.typeJournal Article

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