Confronting the Food-Energy-Environment Trilemma : Global Land Use in the Long Run

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dc.creatorSteinbuks, Jevgenijs
dc.creatorHertel, Thomas W.
dc.date2014-06-26T22:29:52Z
dc.date2014-06-26T22:29:52Z
dc.date2014-06
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-01T00:53:31Z
dc.descriptionEconomic, agronomic, and biophysical drivers affect global land use, so all three influences need to be considered in evaluating economically optimal allocations of the world's land resources. A dynamic, forward-looking optimization framework applied over the course of the coming century shows that although some deforestation is optimal in the near term, in the absence of climate change regulation, the desirability of further deforestation is eliminated by mid-century. Although adverse productivity shocks from climate change have a modest effect on global land use, such shocks combined with rapid growth in energy prices lead to significant deforestation and higher greenhouse gas emissions than in the baseline. Imposition of a global greenhouse gas emissions constraint further heightens the competition for land, as fertilizer use declines and land-based mitigation strategies expand. However, anticipation of the constraint largely dilutes its environmental effectiveness, as deforestation accelerates prior to imposition of the target.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.formattext/plain
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/06/19696268/confronting-food-energy-environment-trilemma-global-land-use-long-run
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/18810
dc.identifier10.1596/1813-9450-6928
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/412545
dc.languageEnglish
dc.languageen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relationPolicy Research Working Paper;No. 6928
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectAEROSOLS
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS
dc.subjectALLOCATION
dc.subjectALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS
dc.subjectANNUAL ENERGY OUTLOOK
dc.subjectANNUAL NET FLUX OF CARBON
dc.subjectANTHROPOGENIC CARBON EMISSIONS
dc.subjectATMOSPHERE
dc.subjectATMOSPHERIC CARBON
dc.subjectBASELINE LEVELS
dc.subjectBEQUEST VALUE
dc.subjectBIO-ENERGY
dc.subjectBIOMASS
dc.subjectBIOMASS BURNING
dc.subjectCALCULATION
dc.subjectCAPITAL ADJUSTMENT
dc.subjectCAPS
dc.subjectCARBON
dc.subjectCARBON DIOXIDE
dc.subjectCARBON LEAKAGE
dc.subjectCARBON PRICES
dc.subjectCARBON SEQUESTRATION
dc.subjectCARBON STOCK
dc.subjectCARBON STOCKS
dc.subjectCARBON TAXES
dc.subjectCHANGES IN LAND USE
dc.subjectCL
dc.subjectCLEAN ENERGY
dc.subjectCLIMATE
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
dc.subjectCLIMATE POLICIES
dc.subjectCLIMATE POLICY
dc.subjectCO2
dc.subjectCOMBUSTION
dc.subjectCONSUMER DEMAND
dc.subjectCOST OF PRODUCTION
dc.subjectDEBT
dc.subjectDECISION MAKING
dc.subjectDEFORESTATION
dc.subjectDEFORESTATION RATE
dc.subjectDEFORESTATION RATES
dc.subjectDEGRADED LANDS
dc.subjectDEGREE DAYS
dc.subjectDEMAND FOR ENERGY
dc.subjectDEMAND FOR ENERGY SERVICES
dc.subjectDIESEL
dc.subjectDISCOUNT RATE
dc.subjectDYNAMIC MODEL
dc.subjectECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
dc.subjectECONOMIC ANALYSIS
dc.subjectECONOMIC DYNAMICS
dc.subjectECONOMIC MODELS
dc.subjectECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE
dc.subjectECONOMIC THEORY
dc.subjectECONOMICS
dc.subjectECOSYSTEM
dc.subjectECOSYSTEMS
dc.subjectELASTICITIES
dc.subjectELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
dc.subjectELECTRIC POWER
dc.subjectELECTRIC POWER SECTOR
dc.subjectEMISSION
dc.subjectEMISSIONS ABATEMENT
dc.subjectEMISSIONS CONTROL
dc.subjectEMISSIONS FROM DEFORESTATION
dc.subjectEMISSIONS FROM LAND USE
dc.subjectEMISSIONS FROM LAND USE CHANGE
dc.subjectEMISSIONS FROM LIVESTOCK
dc.subjectEMISSIONS FROM PETROLEUM
dc.subjectEMISSIONS INTENSITY
dc.subjectENERGY CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectENERGY COSTS
dc.subjectENERGY DEMAND
dc.subjectENERGY ECONOMICS
dc.subjectENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION
dc.subjectENERGY POLICY
dc.subjectENERGY PRICE
dc.subjectENERGY PRICES
dc.subjectENERGY PRODUCTION
dc.subjectENERGY TECHNOLOGIES
dc.subjectENERGY TECHNOLOGY
dc.subjectENERGY USE
dc.subjectENTERIC FERMENTATION
dc.subjectENVIRONMENTAL
dc.subjectENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT
dc.subjectENVIRONMENTAL REGULATION
dc.subjectEQUILIBRIUM
dc.subjectETHANOL
dc.subjectEXPENDITURES
dc.subjectFEEDSTOCKS
dc.subjectFERTILIZATION
dc.subjectFERTILIZERS
dc.subjectFOOD PRODUCTION
dc.subjectFOREST
dc.subjectFOREST AREA
dc.subjectFOREST AREAS
dc.subjectFOREST CARBON
dc.subjectFOREST CONSERVATION
dc.subjectFOREST CONVERSION
dc.subjectFOREST COVER
dc.subjectFOREST LAND
dc.subjectFOREST LANDS
dc.subjectFOREST MANAGEMENT
dc.subjectFOREST MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES
dc.subjectFOREST PRODUCTION
dc.subjectFOREST PRODUCTS
dc.subjectFOREST SINKS
dc.subjectFOREST STRUCTURE
dc.subjectFORESTRY
dc.subjectFORESTRY SECTOR
dc.subjectFORESTS
dc.subjectFOSSIL FUEL
dc.subjectFOSSIL FUEL EMISSIONS
dc.subjectFOSSIL FUELS
dc.subjectFUEL CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectFUEL PRICES
dc.subjectFUEL SUPPLY
dc.subjectFUELS
dc.subjectGHG
dc.subjectGHGS
dc.subjectGLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectGLOBAL ENERGY USE
dc.subjectGLOBAL GREENHOUSE
dc.subjectGLOBAL GREENHOUSE GAS
dc.subjectGLOBAL GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
dc.subjectGLOBAL WARMING
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE GAS
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE GAS MITIGATION
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE GASES
dc.subjectIMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectINCOME
dc.subjectINCREASE IN CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectINPUT PRICES
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL ENERGY OUTLOOK
dc.subjectIPCC
dc.subjectIRREVERSIBILITY
dc.subjectLAND ALLOCATION DECISIONS
dc.subjectLAND MANAGEMENT
dc.subjectLAND RESOURCES
dc.subjectLAND USE
dc.subjectLAND USE CHANGE
dc.subjectLAND USE COMPETITION
dc.subjectLAND USE DECISIONS
dc.subjectLAND-USE CHANGE
dc.subjectLAND-USE EMISSIONS
dc.subjectLIQUID FUELS
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK EMISSIONS
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK PRODUCTS
dc.subjectLOSS OF BIODIVERSITY
dc.subjectMANURE
dc.subjectMARGINAL COST
dc.subjectMARKET FAILURES
dc.subjectMARKET PRICES
dc.subjectNATURAL CAPITAL
dc.subjectNATURAL ECOSYSTEMS
dc.subjectNATURAL FORESTS
dc.subjectNATURAL GAS
dc.subjectNATURAL GAS PRICES
dc.subjectNATURAL RESOURCES
dc.subjectNITROGEN
dc.subjectNITROGEN FERTILIZERS
dc.subjectOIL
dc.subjectOIL EQUIVALENT
dc.subjectOIL PRICE
dc.subjectOIL PRICES
dc.subjectOPTION VALUE
dc.subjectPASTURE LAND
dc.subjectPASTURES
dc.subjectPER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectPER CAPITA INCOMES
dc.subjectPETROLEUM CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectPETROLEUM PRODUCTS
dc.subjectPOLICY ANALYSIS
dc.subjectPOPULATION GROWTH
dc.subjectPOWER GENERATION
dc.subjectPP
dc.subjectPRESENT VALUE
dc.subjectPRODUCTION COSTS
dc.subjectPRODUCTION FUNCTIONS
dc.subjectPRODUCTION PROCESSES
dc.subjectPRODUCTION TECHNOLOGY
dc.subjectPRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
dc.subjectPROPERTY RIGHTS
dc.subjectPUBLIC GOOD
dc.subjectRENEWABLE ENERGY
dc.subjectRESOURCE USE
dc.subjectRISING COST
dc.subjectSCENARIOS
dc.subjectSENSITIVITY ANALYSES
dc.subjectSUBSTITUTION
dc.subjectSUM OF EMISSIONS
dc.subjectTECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESS
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE
dc.subjectTERRESTRIAL CARBON
dc.subjectTIMBER
dc.subjectTOTAL CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectTOTAL DEMAND
dc.subjectUTILITY FUNCTION
dc.subjectWAGES
dc.subjectWELFARE FUNCTION
dc.titleConfronting the Food-Energy-Environment Trilemma : Global Land Use in the Long Run

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