Dependence in Spikes of Energy and Agricultural Prices

dc.creatorRamsey, Ford
dc.date2017-04-01T20:10:05Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-09T09:15:20Z
dc.descriptionUsing elements of extreme value theory, I develop a Bayesian modeling approach that is capable of capturing the extremal dependence structures characterizing energy and agricultural prices. This approach is based on asymptotic arguments that hold for many underlying distributions of prices. Positive and negative movements of prices are considered separately which allows for asymmetry. Because the model is applied only to returns designated as extreme, inference does not depend on observations in the main body of the distribution. This is appealing because there is no reason to suspect a priori that the processes generating non--extreme and extreme observations are similar.
dc.identifierdoi:10.22004/ag.econ.205120
dc.identifierhttps://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/205120/files/aaea2015.pdf
dc.identifierhttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/205120
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/607211
dc.languageeng
dc.publisher
dc.sourcehttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/205120
dc.titleDependence in Spikes of Energy and Agricultural Prices
dc.typeText

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