The impacts of EU accession on the agricultural prices, production patterns and farmers' income in Bulgaria
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Accession to the European Union is expected to intensify the
competitive pressure and substantially alter the political -
economic condition in Bulgaria. This contribution provides a
quantitative assessment of the impact of implementation of the
Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). It is based on results which are
calculated using EISM (European Simulation Model). The model
covers the supply of eighth primary agricultural commodities
(wheat, maize, barley, sunflower seed, beef, pork and poultry
meat, milk) and demand for food products from Bulgaria. The
paper consists of short description of the modeling approach then
the assumptions which have been made regarding the preliminary
negotiations for accession are explained. Subsequently the
evaluation of the impacts of accession focused on change in
producer prices, production and incomes from farming.