Convergence, Dynamics, and Geography of Economic Growth: The Case of Municipalities in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil
No hay miniatura disponible
Fecha
Autores
Título de la revista
ISSN de la revista
Título del volumen
Editor
World Bank, Washington, D.C.
Resumen
Descripción
Analyses of municipal GDP growth in Rio
Grande do Norte in the Northeast of Brazil during 1970-96
reveal that the cross-section dispersion of per capita
income increased over time. Although the analysis indicates
some spatial dependence in income, it is small and has a
downward trend, indicating that the growth path is only
weakly determined by geographical links in Rio Grande do
Norte. Moreover, dynamic analyses based on the Markov chain
transition matrix show that the probability of a
municipality moving from a poor income class to a rich class
is very small and vice-versa. Municipalities located in the
middle-income class have high mobility, but there is no
strong evidence indicating direction. Public policy should
include assisting the rural families by providing them
education and training that increases their opportunities
for employment. There should also be policies to assist poor
and unskilled migrants to integrate fully into the modern
economy in the urban areas through skill development
training and education.
Palabras clave
CONVERGENCE ECONOMICS, DYNAMICS, GEOGRAPHY, DEMOGRAPHY, ECONOMIC GROWTH, MUNICIPAL GOVERNMENT, MARKOV CHAINS, POVERTY, EDUCATION AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY, AGRICULTURE, AQUIFERS, AVERAGE GROWTH, AVERAGE GROWTH RATE, CAPITA INCOMES, CD, CENTRAL BANK, CONVERGENCE HYPOTHESIS, DEBT, DEPENDENT VARIABLE, DIMINISHING RETURNS, DYNAMIC ANALYSIS, ECONOMETRICS, ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES, ECONOMIC ACTIVITY, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, ECONOMIC GROWTH, ECONOMIC POLICIES, ECONOMIC PROGRESS, ECONOMIC STRUCTURE, ESTIMATION METHOD, EXPORTS, EXTREME POVERTY, FISHERIES, GDP, GDP PER CAPITA, GROWTH PATH, GROWTH PERFORMANCE, GROWTH PROCESS, GROWTH RATE, GROWTH RATES, HEADCOUNT POVERTY, HUMAN CAPITAL, INCOME DATA, INCOME GROUPS, INCOME GROWTH, INCOME LEVELS, INDUSTRIALIZATION, INFANT MORTALITY, INFLATION, INTERNATIONAL TRADE, LOW INCOME, MACROECONOMIC STABILIZATION, MARGINAL PRODUCT, MIDDLE INCOME, NATURAL RESOURCES, OIL, PER CAPITA GROWTH, PER CAPITA INCOME, POLICY RESEARCH, POOR MIGRANTS, POPULATION GROWTH, POVERTY LINE, POVERTY REDUCTION, PRECIPITATION, PRODUCTION FUNCTION, PUBLIC POLICY, PURCHASING POWER, REAL GDP, REGIONAL DISPARITIES, REGRESSION ANALYSES, RELATIVE POSITION, RURAL AREAS, SAFETY NET, SECTORAL COMPOSITION, SECTORAL DEVELOPMENT, SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT, SOCIAL PROBLEMS, SOCIAL PROGRAMS, SOCIAL PROTECTION, STAGNATION, TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE, UNEMPLOYMENT, URBAN AREAS, WETLANDS