Modelling Future Availability of Non-coniferous Veneer Logs and Sawlogs in Tropical Forests
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Non-coniferous veneer and sawlogs supply from tropical rainforests will be limited in the future. This paper first reviews an old methodology used to calculate the availability of these logs and then proposes an improved methodology. The improvement was made feasible given the new data now available in the Global Fibre Supply Study. A model was constructed to estimate the future availability of high-quality non-coniferous tropical logs. Two future supply scenarios were developed, one a ssumed status quo with conventional logging and much reduced logging intensities in future harvests; and the other assumed sustainable harvesting operations through reduced impact logging. Complementing this paper is a working paper synthesizing the literature on logging impacts and reduced impact logging in tropical rainforests (Working Paper No. 6).