An assessment of the impact of increasing wheat self-sufficiency and promoting cash-transfer subsidies for consumers in Egypt: A multi-market model

dc.coverageEgypt
dc.creatorGamal M. Siam;Agriculture and Economic Development Analysis Division
dc.date2024-07-31T15:35:24Z
dc.date2024-07-31T15:35:24Z
dc.date2006
dc.date2017-12-05T18:05:52Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T22:13:58Z
dc.descriptionWheat is central to the government of Egypts food security policy which is based on increasing self-sufficiency in wheat on the one hand and subsidizing bread for consumers on the other hand. This paper uses a multi-market approach to assess the impact of increased self-sufficiency in wheat and a switch to a cash-transfer subsidy on cropping patterns, food consumption, production, input use, and income. The findings show that raising self-sufficiency in wheat would reduce reliance on imports but would also adversely affect other sectors, in particular livestock. At full self-sufficiency in wheat, berseem the main animal feed would nearly vanish, with negative repercussions for livestock production. The simulations also show that a move to a cash transfer subsidy system would improve targeting of the poor and eliminate distortions on the consumption side. Finally, under the current wheat policy an increase in the world price of wheat would intensify the adverse consequences of both self -sufficiency and consumer subsidies at the agricultural sector level and economy wide.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.formattext/html
dc.identifier2521-1838
dc.identifierhttps://openknowledge.fao.org/handle/20.500.14283/af842e
dc.identifierhttp://www.fao.org/3/a-af842e.pdf
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/246835
dc.languageEnglish
dc.relationFAO Agricultural Economics Working Paper
dc.rightsFAO
dc.titleAn assessment of the impact of increasing wheat self-sufficiency and promoting cash-transfer subsidies for consumers in Egypt: A multi-market model
dc.titleAn assessment of the impact of increasing wheat self-sufficiency and promoting cash-transfer subsidies for consumers in Egypt: A multi-market model
dc.typeBook (stand-alone)

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