Performance evaluation of ECMWF monthly rainfall forecasts in the Limpopo River Basin

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International Water Management Institute
CGIAR Initiative on Digital Innovation

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This study evaluates the performance of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) seasonal rainfall forecasts provided by Limpopo River Basin's (LRB) Digital Twin using Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station (CHIRPS) dataset as a reference for the period of 2017 to 2024. The primary aim is to assess forecast skill across different climate zones within the LRB, characterized by varying climatic conditions from semi-arid to temperate.

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weather forecasting, rainfall, performance assessment, river basins, meteorology, climate change, climatic zones, precipitation, semi-arid zones, water management

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