The Ukraine war and rising commodity prices: Implications for developing countries

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dc.creatorArndt, Channing
dc.creatorDiao, Xinshen
dc.creatorDorosh, Paul A.
dc.creatorPauw, Karl
dc.creatorThurlow, James
dc.date2023-03
dc.date2023-03-08T19:31:17Z
dc.date2023-03-08T19:31:17Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:39:23Z
dc.descriptionThe Russia-Ukraine war's impact on food, fuel, and fertilizer prices is a major concern for global poverty and food insecurity. Despite numerous studies and editorials on the risks and challenges of the crisis, there is little quantitative analysis of its consequences for developing countries. We use national economywide models to measure the near-term impacts of the crisis on agrifood systems, poverty, and food insecurity in 19 countries. Despite wide variations across countries, results confirm the adverse impacts of the crisis, with a total 27.2 and 22.3 million more people pushed into poverty and hunger, respectively. Agrifood systems and poverty are more vulnerable to rising fuel and fertilizer prices, whereas hunger and diet quality are more affected by higher food prices.
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/129259
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/110765
dc.languageen
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceArndt, Channing; Diao, Xinshen; Dorosh, Paul A.; Pauw, Karl; and Thurlow, James. 2023. The Ukraine war and rising commodity prices: Implications for developing countries. Global Food Security 36(March 2023): 100680. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2023.100680
dc.subjectagrifood systems
dc.subjectcommodity markets
dc.subjectdeveloping countries
dc.subjectdiet quality
dc.subjectfertilizers
dc.subjectfood insecurity
dc.subjectfuels
dc.subjectmarket prices
dc.subjectpoverty
dc.subjectwar
dc.titleThe Ukraine war and rising commodity prices: Implications for developing countries
dc.typeJournal Article

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Instituto Internacional de Investigación sobre Políticas Alimentarias (IFPRI)