Climate and weather services can enhance Ethiopian farmers’ resilience to climate change: Economy-wide impact analysis

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dc.creatorTamru, Seneshaw
dc.creatorHansen, James
dc.creatorZebiak, Stephen
dc.creatorTesfaye, Abonesh
dc.creatorMinten, Bart
dc.creatorDemissie, Teferi
dc.creatorRadeny, Maren A.O.
dc.creatorTesfaye, Kindie
dc.creatorSolomon, Dawit
dc.date2025-07
dc.date2025-07-10T04:13:08Z
dc.date2025-07-10T04:13:08Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T17:11:00Z
dc.descriptionWeather and climate services (WCS) are particularly important in Sub-Saharan Africa, where weather-dependent agriculture is the main source of livelihood, and where erratic weather patterns and extreme weather events have major impacts on rural livelihoods and food security. However, despite their importance, their effects on the agriculture sector and the overall economy are not well understood. For the case of Ethiopia, we use a computable general equilibrium modeling approach with the latest Ethiopian social accounting matrix data to estimate the potential contribution of WCS to macroeconomic variables, including growth in gross domestic product nationally and by sector. The analysis incorporates results of a separate econometric analysis of household survey data from five major regions in Ethiopia, which showed WCS use is associated with increased agricultural productivity. We estimate that increased agricultural productivity associated with WCS contributes to overall economic growth of more than 6 %, with a likely positive effect on farmers’ resilience to climate variability and change. The positive impact of WCS on agricultural productivity propagate to the overall economy, as evidenced by the considerable positive effect on GDP especially from the more climate sensitive sectors such as agriculture.
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/175582
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/144678
dc.languageen
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceTamru, S., Hansen, J., Zebiak, S., Tesfaye, A., Minten, B., Demissie, T., Radeny, M., Tesfaye, K. and Solomon, D. 2025. Climate and weather services can enhance Ethiopian farmers’ resilience to climate change: Economy-wide impact analysis. Climate Risk Management 49: 100725. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2025.100725
dc.subjectagriculture
dc.subjectclimate change
dc.subjectresilience
dc.subjectproductivity
dc.titleClimate and weather services can enhance Ethiopian farmers’ resilience to climate change: Economy-wide impact analysis
dc.typeJournal Article

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