Gone with the Storm : Rainfall Shocks and Household Well-Being in Guatemala

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dc.creatorBaez, Javier E.
dc.creatorLucchetti, Leonardo
dc.creatorGenoni, Maria E.
dc.creatorSalazar, Mateo
dc.date2015-02-03T17:21:14Z
dc.date2015-02-03T17:21:14Z
dc.date2015-01
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-01T00:49:19Z
dc.descriptionThis paper investigates the causal consequences of Tropical Storm Agatha (2010) -- the strongest tropical storm ever to strike Guatemala since rainfall records have been kept -- on household welfare. The analysis reveals substantial negative effects, particularly among urban households. Per capita consumption fell by 12.6 percent, raising poverty by 5.5 percentage points (an increase of 18 percent). The negative effects of the shock span other areas of human welfare. Households cut back on food consumption (10 percent or 43 to 108 fewer calories per person per day) and reduced expenditures on basic durables. These effects are related to a drop in income per capita (10 percent), mostly among salaried workers. Adults coped with the shock by increasing their labor supply (on the intensive margin) and simultaneously relying on the labor supply of their children and withdrawing them from school. Impact heterogeneity is associated with the intensity of the shock, food price inflation, and the timing of Agatha with respect to the harvest cycle of the main crops. The results are robust to placebo treatments, household migration, issues of measurement error, and different samples. The negative effects of the storm partly explain the increase in poverty seen in urban Guatemala between 2006 and 2011, which national authorities and analysts previously attributed solely to the collateral effects of the global financial crisis.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.formattext/plain
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/01/23884248/gone-storm-rainfall-shocks-household-well-being-guatemala
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/21396
dc.identifier10.1596/1813-9450-7177
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/411525
dc.languageEnglish
dc.languageen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank Group, Washington, DC
dc.relationPolicy Research Working Paper;No. 7177
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectACCESS TO ELECTRICITY
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL LAND
dc.subjectALLOCATION
dc.subjectALLOCATION MECHANISM
dc.subjectANTI-POVERTY
dc.subjectAVERAGE PRICE
dc.subjectBUFFER STOCK
dc.subjectCALORIE INTAKE
dc.subjectCALORIES PER DAY
dc.subjectCALORIES PER PERSON
dc.subjectCALORIES PER PERSON PER DAY
dc.subjectCASH TRANSFERS
dc.subjectCHILD LABOR
dc.subjectCHILD NUTRITION
dc.subjectCLIMATE
dc.subjectCOLLATERAL EFFECTS
dc.subjectCONSUMPTION AGGREGATE
dc.subjectCONSUMPTION BASKET
dc.subjectCONSUMPTION DATA
dc.subjectCONSUMPTION INSURANCE
dc.subjectCONSUMPTION MEASURE
dc.subjectCONSUMPTION PRICE
dc.subjectCONSUMPTION SMOOTHING
dc.subjectCROP INCOME
dc.subjectDEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
dc.subjectDIVERSIFICATION
dc.subjectDOMESTIC PRODUCTION
dc.subjectDROUGHT
dc.subjectECONOMETRIC MODELS
dc.subjectECONOMIC IMPACTS
dc.subjectENERGY CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectEXTREME EVENTS
dc.subjectEXTREME POVERTY
dc.subjectEXTREME POVERTY LINE
dc.subjectEXTREME RAINFALL
dc.subjectEXTREME WEATHER
dc.subjectEXTREME WEATHER EVENTS
dc.subjectFINANCIAL CRISIS
dc.subjectFOOD AID
dc.subjectFOOD CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectFOOD EXPENDITURES
dc.subjectFOOD ITEMS
dc.subjectFOOD PRICE
dc.subjectFOOD PRICES
dc.subjectFOOD SECURITY
dc.subjectGENERAL EQUILIBRIUM
dc.subjectGEOGRAPHICAL REGIONS
dc.subjectHIGHER INCIDENCE OF POVERTY
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD BUDGET
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD DATA
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD HEAD
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD INCOME
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD MEMBERS
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD SURVEY
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD WELFARE
dc.subjectHOUSING
dc.subjectHUMAN CAPITAL
dc.subjectHUMAN CAPITAL FORMATION
dc.subjectHUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE
dc.subjectHURRICANE
dc.subjectHURRICANE RISK
dc.subjectHURRICANES
dc.subjectINCOME
dc.subjectINCOME RISK
dc.subjectINCOME SHOCK
dc.subjectINEQUALITY
dc.subjectINFANT MORTALITY
dc.subjectINFANT MORTALITY RATES
dc.subjectINSURANCE
dc.subjectJOBS
dc.subjectLABOR INCOME
dc.subjectLABOR SUPPLY
dc.subjectLIVING STANDARDS
dc.subjectLOSSES IN CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectMALNUTRITION
dc.subjectMILK
dc.subjectNATIONAL POVERTY
dc.subjectNATIONAL POVERTY LINE
dc.subjectNATIONAL POVERTY RATE
dc.subjectNATURAL DISASTER
dc.subjectNATURAL DISASTERS
dc.subjectNATURAL SHOCKS
dc.subjectNUTRITION
dc.subjectPER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectPOOR
dc.subjectPOVERTY GAP
dc.subjectPOVERTY INCIDENCE
dc.subjectPOVERTY LINES
dc.subjectPOVERTY MAP
dc.subjectPOVERTY PERSISTENCE
dc.subjectPOVERTY RATE
dc.subjectPOVERTY RATES
dc.subjectPOVERTY STATUS
dc.subjectPOVERTY THRESHOLD
dc.subjectPRICE INDEX
dc.subjectPRIVATE TRANSFERS
dc.subjectPROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION
dc.subjectREDUCTION IN CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectRESOURCE ECONOMICS
dc.subjectRISK MANAGEMENT
dc.subjectRURAL
dc.subjectRURAL AREAS
dc.subjectRURAL FAMILIES
dc.subjectRURAL HOUSEHOLDS
dc.subjectRURAL POOR
dc.subjectRURAL POOR HOUSEHOLDS
dc.subjectRURAL VILLAGES
dc.subjectSANITATION
dc.subjectSCHOOL ATTENDANCE
dc.subjectSCHOOLING
dc.subjectSOCIAL PROTECTION
dc.subjectSTORMS
dc.subjectSUBSISTENCE
dc.subjectTOTAL CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectTOTAL DAMAGES
dc.subjectTOTAL INCOME
dc.subjectTROPICAL CYCLONE
dc.subjectTROPICAL STORM
dc.subjectVULNERABILITY TO POVERTY
dc.subjectWELFARE INDICATOR
dc.titleGone with the Storm : Rainfall Shocks and Household Well-Being in Guatemala

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