Philippines Economic Update, June 2020
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World Bank, Washington, DC
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A series of unforeseen events caused an
abrupt halt to the Philippines' strong growth momentum
in early 2020. The Philippine economy carried its strong
growth momentum from the second half of 2019 into early 2020
thanks to positive consumer confidence, robust macroeconomic
fundamentals, and an improvement in the external sector.
However, the eruption of Taal Volcano in early January, the
spread of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak
in the region, and the rise of COVID-19 infection cases in
the Philippines in March, forced the economy to a near halt
in the latter part of March due to severe disruptions in
manufacturing, agriculture, tourism and hospitality,
construction, and trade. The economy contracted by 0.2
percent year-on-year in the first quarter of 2020, the first
contraction in over two decades, and was a sharp reversal
from the 5.7 percent growth over the same period in 2019.
Leading indicators that track economic activity in real time
suggest that the contraction would be even more severe in
the second quarter as most regions of the country entered an
enhanced community quarantine (ECQ) in mid-March.
Palabras clave
ECONOMIC GROWTH, ECONOMIC OUTLOOK, CORONAVIRUS, COVID-19, PANDEMIC IMPACT, PANDEMIC RESPONSE, FISCAL TRENDS, FISCAL POLICY, MONETARY POLICY, EXTERNAL SECTOR, POVERTY REDUCTION, EMPLOYMENT, SHARED PROSPERITY, RISKS, INTERNET ACCESS, DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE, DIGITAL DIVIDE, DIGITAL ECONOMY
