Economic analysis of supply and demand for fish, fishery products and agriculture in sub-Saharan Africa up to 2022 – special focus on fish and fishery products. FAO Fisheries and Aquaculture Circular No. 1101.
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This circular analyses and forecasts future demand for and supply of food in sub-Saharan Africa, with a special focus on fish and fishery products. Eleven countries in the region were selected for in-depth analysis: Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana, Kenya, Madagascar, Mozambique, Namibia, Nigeria, Senegal, South Africa, Uganda and the United Republic of Tanzania. With the population of sub-Saharan Africa expected to increase at an average annual rate of 2.6 percent from 949 million in 2015 to reach 1.2 bil lion by 2025, food production systems will be placed under growing pressure in an already difficult setting of rising urbanization and environmental degradation. Various population dynamics in the region will have a number of nuanced effects on the future demand for food. With the rate of population growth in 2022 expected to be outpace increased production from fisheries, aquaculture and agriculture, it is forecast that the region will be less self-sufficient in terms of food production than co mpared with the current situation, as well as compared with other regions of the world. Despite these findings, the overall increase in per capita income will also affect food demand and potentially improve nutrition for some.