Is it too late to stabilise the global climate?
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Assessment of the feasibility of stabilising the global climate requires consideration of
trajectories for emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. This study
presents a simple and robust analysis of feasible emissions trajectories. Consideration
of feasible trajectories suggests that if the current pace of mitigation efforts is
sustained, the likely outcome will be stabilisation at concentrations close to 500 parts
per million. Such an outcome will imply a higher than 50 per cent probability of
substantial damage from climate change and an enhanced risk of a catastrophic
outcome.