Food policy monitoring in the Near East and North Africa region, 3rd Quarter 2025 | Bulletin

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The Near East and North Africa (NENA) region faces a fragile food security landscape, shaped by inequality, conflict, climate extremes, and price volatility. While the FAO Food Price Index remained stable in August 2025, fertilizer costs and soaring regional food inflation continued to strain households. Prices rose an average of 33.8 percent year-on-year, with Palestine and Libya experiencing inflation close to 200 percent. Agricultural output for 2024/25 varied: Tunisia reported above-average cereal harvests, while Morocco, Algeria, and Lebanon saw sharp declines due to drought, heat, or conflict. Egypt’s irrigated systems provided stability, but long-term risks from rising temperatures persist. For 2025/26, North Africa’s wheat production is expected to grow 4.2 percent, while the Near East faces a 10.4 percent decline.Food insecurity hotspots remain severe, with famine confirmed in Gaza, affecting nearly two million people, while Yemen and Sudan face worsening crises. Governments are responding with measures such as expanding grain reserves, investing in renewable energy and climate-smart irrigation, and pursuing concessional financing. Yet limited fiscal space and subsidy distortions hinder progress. The bulletin’s focus highlights financing agrifood system transformation, stressing repurposed support, innovative financial instruments, and regional platforms like the Transformational Impact Partnership to mobilize resources and build resilience.

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