Indonesia Economic Quarterly FY13
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Washington, DC
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The Indonesia economic quarterly reports
on and synthesizes the past three months key developments
in Indonesia s economy. It places them in a longer-term and
global context, and assesses the implications of these
developments and other changes in policy for the outlook for
Indonesia s economic and social welfare. Its coverage ranges
from the macroeconomy to financial markets to indicators of
human welfare and development. It is intended for a wide
audience, including policy makers, business leaders,
financial market participants, and the community of analysts
and professionals engaged in Indonesia s evolving economy.
The near-term global economic outlook is fragile and
emerging economies, including Indonesia, again face the risk
of a potential crisis that is not of their making. The
growth outlook for Indonesia s major trading partners (MTP),
at 3.3 percent in 2012, remains relatively weak as increased
Euro zone uncertainty adds to the ongoing drags on global
growth from budget cutting and deleveraging in developed
economies, and capacity constraints in some developing
economies. Recent international financial market turbulence
looks set to continue in the near-term and, while this
baseline scenario remains the most likely outcome, capital
flows to emerging economies and sentiment are likely to
remain volatile. Further enhancing crisis preparedness is
therefore a policy priority for economies such as Indonesia
but, at the same time, it is important to push ahead with
reforms and investments which can support medium-term growth
in what is likely to be a weaker global economic environment.
Palabras clave
ACCOUNTING, AGGREGATE INVESTMENT, AGRICULTURE, ANNUAL GROWTH, ASSET PRICE, BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, BALANCE OF PAYMENTS FLOWS, BALANCE SHEETS, BANK ASSETS, BANK BALANCE SHEETS, BANK INTERMEDIATION, BANK LOANS, BANKING SECTOR, BANKING SYSTEM, BID, BILL, BOND, BOND PRICES, BOND YIELD, BOND YIELDS, BORROWING COSTS, BUDGET DEFICIT, CAPITAL ADEQUACY, CAPITAL FORMATION, CAPITAL GOODS, CAPITAL GOODS IMPORTS, CAPITAL INFLOWS, COMMERCIAL BANK, COMMERCIAL BANK LENDING, COMMODITY MARKET, COMMODITY PRICE, COMMODITY PRICES, CONSENSUS FORECASTS, CONSOLIDATION, CONSUMER LOAN, CONSUMER PRICE INDEX, CONSUMERS, CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE, CONSUMPTION LEVELS, CORE INFLATION, COUNTRY EQUITY, CREDIT GROWTH, CREDIT QUALITY, CREDIT SPREADS, CURRENCY DEPRECIATION, CURRENT ACCOUNT, CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE, CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT, DEBT RATIO, DEBT REPAYMENTS, DEBT SUSTAINABILITY, DECENTRALIZATION, DEFLATION, DEMAND GROWTH, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, DIRECT INVESTMENT, DISBURSEMENT, DISINFLATION, DOLLAR PRICE, DOMESTIC DEMAND, DOMESTIC DEMAND GROWTH, DOMESTIC MARKET, DRAG ON GROWTH, ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS, ECONOMIC CONDITIONS, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, ECONOMIC DISRUPTION, ECONOMIC GROWTH, ECONOMIC OUTLOOK, EMERGING MARKET, EMERGING MARKET EQUITIES, EQUIPMENT, EQUITY INDEX, EQUITY INDICES, EQUITY MARKETS, EXCESS DEMAND, EXCHANGE RATE, EXPENDITURE, EXPENDITURES, EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION, EXPORT PERFORMANCE, EXPORT SHARE, EXPORT VOLUMES, EXPORTS, EXTERNAL DEBT, EXTERNAL DEMAND, EXTERNAL FINANCING, EXTERNAL TRADE, FINANCIAL ASSET, FINANCIAL CRISIS, FINANCIAL MARKET, FINANCIAL MARKET PARTICIPANTS, FINANCIAL MARKETS, FINANCIAL STABILITY, FINANCIAL SYSTEM, FISCAL DEFICIT, FISCAL POLICY, FISCAL POSITION, FIXED CAPITAL, FIXED INVESTMENT, FOOD PRICE, FOOD PRICES, FORECASTS, FOREIGN CURRENCY, FOREIGN CURRENCY EXPOSURE, FOREIGN CURRENCY LENDING, FOREIGN CURRENCY LOANS, FOREIGN EXCHANGE, FOREIGN INVESTMENT, FORMS OF CREDIT, GDP, GDP DEFLATOR, GDP PER CAPITA, GLOBAL ECONOMY, GLOBAL TRADE, GOVERNMENT BOND, GOVERNMENT BOND YIELDS, GOVERNMENT BONDS, GOVERNMENT BUDGET, GOVERNMENT DEBT, GOVERNMENT SPENDING, GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION, GROWTH PROJECTIONS, GROWTH RATE, GROWTH RATES, HEDGES, IMPERFECT SUBSTITUTES, IMPORT, IMPORT DEMAND, IMPORT GROWTH, INFLATION, INFLATION RATE, INFLATIONARY PRESSURES, INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT, INTEREST RATES, INTERNATIONAL BANK, INVENTORIES, INVENTORY, INVESTMENT FLOWS, INVESTMENT INFLOWS, INVESTMENT LOANS, INVESTMENT RATIO, INVESTMENT SPENDING, INVESTOR PERCEPTIONS, LABOR FORCE, LIQUIDITY, LIVING STANDARDS, LOCAL BANKS, LOCAL CURRENCY, LOCAL GOVERNMENT, LOCAL GOVERNMENTS, MACROECONOMIC POLICY, MARKET CONDITIONS, MARKET PRICES, MONETARY POLICY, MORTGAGE, MORTGAGE INTEREST, MORTGAGE INTEREST RATES, NET EXPORTS, NON-PERFORMING LOANS, NPL, OIL DEMAND, OIL PRICE, OIL PRICES, OPPORTUNITY COST, OPPORTUNITY COSTS, OUTTURN, PORTFOLIO, PORTFOLIO INFLOWS, PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT, POTENTIAL INVESTMENT, POVERTY REDUCTION, PRICE INCREASES, PRICE INDICES, PRICE INFLATION, PRIVATE CONSUMPTION, PRIVATE INVESTMENT, PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH, PROPERTY VALUES, PRUDENTIAL REGULATION, PUBLIC INVESTMENT, PURCHASING POWER, REAL GDP, REAL INVESTMENT, REAL PROPERTY, RECESSION, REPAYMENTS, RESERVE, RESERVES, RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE, RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGES, RETURN, SOLVENCY, STRONG CAPITAL INFLOWS, SUPPLY SIDE, SURPLUS, SUSTAINABLE GROWTH RATE, TARIFF INCREASES, TOTAL IMPORTS, TOTAL INVESTMENT, TOTAL OUTPUT, TRADE ACCOUNTS, TRADE BALANCE, TRADE BALANCES, TRADE DEFICIT, TRADE PATTERNS, TRADE POLICIES, TRADE POLICY, TRADE SURPLUS, TRADING, TRADING PARTNER, TRADING PARTNERS, TREASURY, TREASURY NOTE, TREASURY YIELD, TREASURY YIELDS, UNCERTAINTIES, UNCERTAINTY, UNEMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, VALUATION, VALUE ADDED, WAGES, WEIGHTS, WORKING CAPITAL, WORLD PRICES, WTO