Investing in Turkey's Next Generation : The School-to-Work Transition and Turkey's Development

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Washington, DC

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This report assesses the prospects for Turkey's youth by examining the 'school-to-work transition'. Turkey needs to invest in its young people to capture the potentially substantial dividend of today's large youth cohort. Because of the sheer number of young people, Turkey's working-age population will expand by over 800,000 every year during the next decade. This so-called 'productive population' will continue to grow until around 2020 when the demographic window starts to close. By that time, Turkey will have the population profile of an aging society. East Asia's economic miracle of the 1970s and 1980s demonstrated that a large youth cohort can propel an economy to very high growth rates. However, the experience in other regions, such as Latin America, has shown that this outcome is by no means guaranteed. Investments made now in today's children and youth will be critical in determining the extent to which Turkey benefits from this 'demographic dividend' While the potential benefits are great, so are the risks if today's large youth cohort does not find its place in tomorrow's labor market and society. The potential downside of this demographic profile is also significant. If Turkey's young people are not well prepared for the world of work and if the labor market does not generate more and better jobs for them, then this large youth cohort will be the source of social and economic pressures and tensions. Indeed, managing the transition into adulthood will be a very important factor in determining how well Turkey achieves the goals of stability, equity, and competitiveness that are at the heart of the Ninth Development Plan. In many respects, Turkey has taken important steps to prepare for this future. Today's young people are more educated and healthier than previous ones, which is a strong base to build on. Educational achievements have been notable, especially in basic education. Enrollments are up at all levels. Some important steps have been taken to modernize the labor market and to establish the foundations for employment institutions and policies suitable for an open, private-sector led economy.

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ACCESS TO INFORMATION, ACCOUNTING, ACTIVE LABOR, ACTIVE LABOR MARKET, ACTIVE LABOR MARKET PROGRAMS, ADULT EDUCATION, ADULT MALES, AGE GROUP, AGE GROUPS, AGGREGATE EMPLOYMENT, ANNUAL POPULATION GROWTH RATE, CALCULATIONS, CAREER COUNSELING, CAREER DEVELOPMENT, CENSUSES, COMMODITY, COMMUNITY COLLEGES, CONSULTATION PROCESS, CROSS-SECTIONAL DATA, CULTURAL VALUES, CURRENCY, CURRICULA, DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE, DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION, DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, EARNING, EARNINGS, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, ECONOMIC GROWTH, ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS, EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT, EDUCATIONAL OPPORTUNITIES, EMPLOYABILITY, EMPLOYABLE SKILLS, EMPLOYER CONTRIBUTION, EMPLOYER CONTRIBUTIONS, EMPLOYER PENSION, EMPLOYMENT, EMPLOYMENT AGENCIES, EMPLOYMENT CREATION, EMPLOYMENT GROWTH, EMPLOYMENT IMPACTS, EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES, EMPLOYMENT ORGANIZATION, EMPLOYMENT OUTCOMES, EMPLOYMENT PERFORMANCE, EMPLOYMENT PROGRAMS, EMPLOYMENT PROSPECTS, EMPLOYMENT RATES, EMPLOYMENT STATUS, ENTRY POINT, EXCHANGE RATE, FAMILY INCOME, FAMILY RESPONSIBILITIES, FEMALE EMPLOYMENT, FEMALE LABOR, FEMALE LABOR FORCE, FEMALE WORKERS, FERTILITY, FERTILITY RATES, FINANCIAL RESOURCES, FORMAL EDUCATION, FORMAL LABOR MARKET, FUTURE GROWTH, GENERAL PUBLIC, GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT, HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT RATES, HOUSEHOLD RESPONSIBILITIES, HOUSEWIFE, HOUSEWIVES, HUMAN CAPITAL, HUMAN DEVELOPMENT, ILLITERACY, INCOME, INCOME LEVEL, INCOME SUPPORT, INCOME TAXES, INFORMAL SECTOR, INFORMATION CAMPAIGNS, INFORMED DECISIONS, INVESTING, INVESTMENT CLIMATE, INVESTMENT CLIMATE ASSESSMENT, JOB CREATION, JOB FAIRS, JOB OPPORTUNITIES, JOB SEARCH, JOB SEARCH ASSISTANCE, JOB SECURITY, JOB VACANCY, JOB-SEEKERS, JOBS, LABOR CODE, LABOR COST, LABOR COSTS, LABOR DEMAND, LABOR FORCE, LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION, LABOR MARKET, LABOR MARKET ASSESSMENTS, LABOR MARKET INDICATORS, LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES, LABOR MARKET PERFORMANCE, LABOR MARKET POLICY, LABOR MARKET REFORM, LABOR MARKET REFORMS, LABOR MARKET SITUATION, LABOR SUPPLY, LABOUR, LABOUR FORCE, LACK OF INFORMATION, LEVEL OF EDUCATION, LEVELS OF EDUCATION, LITERACY, LOCAL COMMUNITY, LOCAL LABOR MARKET, LOW COSTS, LOW EARNINGS, LOW EMPLOYMENT, LOW-INCOME, LOW-INCOME FAMILIES, LOWER-INCOME FAMILIES, MATH, MINIMUM WAGE, MORTALITY, NUMBER OF PEOPLE, OCCUPATIONS, OLDER WORKERS, ON-THE-JOB TRAINING, PART-TIME EMPLOYMENT, PENSION CONTRIBUTIONS, POLICY RESEARCH, POPULATION DYNAMICS, POPULATION PROJECTIONS, POVERTY REDUCTION, PREVIOUS ONES, PREVIOUS SECTION, PRIMARY EDUCATION, PRIMARY SCHOOL, PRIVATE EMPLOYMENT, PRIVATE PROVIDERS, PRIVATE SECTOR, PRIVATE TRAINING, PRIVATE TRAINING INSTITUTIONS, PROBABILITY, PROTECTING WORKERS, QUALITY OF EDUCATION, QUESTIONNAIRE, RATES OF RETURN, REGULAR WORKERS, RESPECT, RESPONSIBILITIES, RURAL AREAS, RURAL WOMEN, SCHOOL-AGE POPULATION, SECOND JOB, SECONDARY EDUCATION, SECONDARY SCHOOL, SECONDARY SCHOOLS, SERVICE SECTOR, SEVERANCE PAYMENTS, SKILL GROUPS, SKILLED WORKERS, SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT, SOCIAL INSURANCE, SOCIAL SECURITY, SOCIAL SECURITY CONTRIBUTIONS, STAKEHOLDER, STAKEHOLDERS, STATE PLANNING, SUSTAINABLE GROWTH, TEENS, TEMPORARY EMPLOYMENT, TRADE UNIONS, TRAINING COURSES, TRAINING PROGRAMS, TRAINING SYSTEM, UNEMPLOYED, UNEMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS, UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE, UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE BENEFITS, UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, UNEMPLOYMENT RATES, UNIVERSAL BASIC EDUCATION, URBAN AREAS, URBAN POPULATION, VOCATIONAL EDUCATION, VOCATIONAL QUALIFICATION, VOCATIONAL SCHOOL, VOCATIONAL TRAINING, WAGE DISTRIBUTION, WAGE GAP, WAGE PREMIUM, WAGE PREMIUMS, WAGE SECTOR, WAGE SUBSIDIES, WAGES, WITHDRAWAL, WORKERS, WORKFORCE, WORKING AGE, WORKING-AGE POPULATION, WORLD POPULATION, YOUNG ADULTS, YOUNG MEN, YOUNG PEOPLE, YOUNG WOMEN, YOUNG WORKERS, YOUTH EMPLOYMENT, YOUTH LABOR, YOUTH ORGANIZATIONS, YOUTH PARTICIPATION

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