Cascades of tipping in impacts

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dc.creatorJuhola, Sirkku
dc.creatorRocha, Juan
dc.creatorSillmann, Jana
dc.creatorBasel, Ashleigh
dc.creatorConstantino, Sara M.
dc.creatorCraparo, Alessandro C. W.
dc.creatorCumming, Graeme S.
dc.creatorDonges, Jonathan F.
dc.creatorFilatova, Tatiana
dc.creatorMalmström, Alexandra
dc.creatorMithal, Vidur
dc.creatorScheffran, Jürgen
dc.creatorTuhkanen, Heidi
dc.creatorWatson, Tabitha
dc.date2023-12-06
dc.date2024-01-19T09:44:54Z
dc.date2024-01-19T09:44:54Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T13:28:05Z
dc.descriptionThis chapter advances the state-of-the-art understanding of tipping cascades across scales and systems between Earth system and social tipping points. We consider a tipping cascade to occur when extremes or passing of a tipping point in one system triggers or increases the likelihood of reaching a tipping point in another. Here, this means that crossing an Earth system tipping point or experiencing an extreme volatility in the natural system can lead to cascading impacts that trigger social tipping points, and vice versa. Our analysis of the literature shows that most is known about the tipping cascades in the large-scale Earth System, while hardly any research analyses tipping cascades within socio-economic systems. We further illustrate the complexity of identifying tipping cascades with five case studies. These examples show the challenges in establishing the state of systems involved, identifying and modelling dynamics over time and space, as well as capturing the context dependency of interactions, especially in the social system. Further research steps include development of conceptual understanding of causal chains and feedbacks, as well as systematic accumulation of the empirical evidence base over temporal and across spatial scales. Research on governance of tipping cascades is in its infancy, with little insight into how the risks of tipping cascades can be identified and managed.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/138119
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/60317
dc.languageen
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceJuhola, S.; Rocha, J.; Sillmann, J.; Basel, A.; Constantino, S.M.; Craparo, A.C.W.; Cumming, G.S.; Donges, J.F.; Filatova, T.; Malmström, A.; Mithal, V.; Scheffran, J.; Tuhkanen, H.; Watson, T. (2023) Cascades of tipping in impacts. [Chapter 2.4] In: Abrams, J.F. (et al. (eds.)) Section 2: Tipping point impacts. Exeter (UK) University of Exeter. p. 33-45.
dc.subjectclimate change
dc.subjectmodelling
dc.subjectclimate
dc.subjecttipping points
dc.subjectsocioeconomic environment
dc.subjectcase studies
dc.subjectphenomena
dc.subjectsocial structure
dc.titleCascades of tipping in impacts
dc.typeBook Chapter

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