INVESTIGATING THE ECONOMIC AND WATER QUALITY EFFECTS OF THE 2003 CAP REFORM ON ARABLE CROPPING SYSTEMS: A SCOTTISH CASE STUDY
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The 2003 Common Agricultural Policy Reform aimed to promote the socio-economic
and environmental sustainability of agricultural systems. An important question is how far the
Reform has indeed encouraged farmers to contribute to achieving broad economic and
environmental goals. The economic and water resource effects of the Reform have been
explored for the case study area of the Lunan catchment, which is typical of Scottish arable
cropping areas. Land use data analysis, bio-physical modelling and bio-economic modelling
were used in combination to identify the effects of a range of scenarios. The results indicate
only small changes in the cropping pattern and associated economic and water quality
indicators as a result of the Reform, with the main changes in farmers' decision making being
explained by crop price changes.