2016–2018 Spread of H5N8 highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in sub-Saharan Africa
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South Africa is experiencing an epidemic of H5N8 HPAI virus since 2017 in both domestic and wild birds. The document will assess the potential for the virus to persist in this ecosystem and potentially spread northwards with wild bird movement during the South African winter (i.e. June – September 2018).