Forecasting mitigation measures for agricultural greenhouse gas emissions in Finland

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The objective of this paper is to provide insights for researchers and policy makers concerning the impact of specific mitigation measures for greenhouse gas emissions at the farm level. Both quantitative simulations and qualitative expert judgements are used to analyse the impacts of four different mitigation measures for greenhouse gas emissions in Finland. The quantitative effects projected by the farm level modelling can provide the expert panel an opportunity to evaluate the acceptability at the farm level and the effectiveness of these mitigation measures to reduce emissions from agriculture. The results indicate that the potential to reduce emissions from Finnish agriculture is limited with current technology and the cost is high for implementing these measures at the farm level. The possible emissions reduction in Finland from these measures would contribute to less than one tenth of the reduction target for sectors excluded from the Emissions Trading System.

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