Agricultural intensification in Ethiopia: Patterns, trends, and welfare impacts

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dc.creatorBerhane, Guush
dc.creatorAbate, Gashaw T.
dc.creatorWolle, Abdulazize
dc.date2022-12-20
dc.date2024-04-12T13:36:42Z
dc.date2024-04-12T13:36:42Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:38:25Z
dc.descriptionEthiopia has made substantial efforts in the last three decades to increase agricultural productivity through modern input intensification and stimulate overall economic growth. Despite the high growth rates in recent decade, Ethiopia’s overall intensification and yield levels remained below what is considered optimal. This study examines the patterns, trends, and drivers of agricultural intensification and productivity growth during the recent decade (2012 - 2019) using three rounds of representative household data collected from the four main agriculturally important regions of the country. The descriptive results indicate a positive trend in both the adoption rate and intensity of inputs and output, albeit from a low base compared to other contexts and with considerable heterogeneity by access to information, rainfall levels and variability, labor, soil quality, remoteness, among others. The econometric results show significant association between intensification, yield growth, household dietary diversity (a proxy measure for food and nutrition security), and consumer durables. However, the results on the association between current yield levels and per capita consumption expenditures are mixed (i.e., while an increase in cereal yield only improve food consumption expenditures, an increase in cash crops yield mainly improve non-food consumption expenditures). In sum, while the increasing input intensification and the resulting yield gains are associated with improvement in household diets and consumer durables, it falls short to have strong impact on incomes (as measured by total consumption expenditures), indicating that more efforts have to be made to see meaningful impacts on higher order outcomes. Additional welfare improving productivity gains through increased input intensifications may require investments to put in place appropriate fertilizer blends linked with localized soil nutrient requirements, investments to generate locally suited improved seeds and appropriate mechanisms to reach farmers, ways to mitigate production (rainfall) risk, and investments to remodel Ethiopia’s extension system to provided much needed technical support to farmers on production methods.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/140826
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/110272
dc.languageen
dc.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Institute
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceBerhane, Guush; Abate, Gashaw Tadesse; and Wolle, Abdulazize. 2022. Agricultural intensification in Ethiopia: Patterns, trends, and welfare impacts. IFPRI Discussion Paper 2150. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.136483.
dc.subjectincome
dc.subjectproduction
dc.subjectsoil
dc.subjectfarmers
dc.subjectwelfare
dc.subjectwelfare economics
dc.subjectlabour
dc.subjectagriculture
dc.subjectfarm inputs
dc.subjectconsumption patterns
dc.subjectinput output analysis
dc.subjecteconometrics
dc.subjectproductivity
dc.subjectintensification
dc.subjectrainfall patterns
dc.subjectcereal crops
dc.subjectyield potential
dc.subjectrain
dc.subjectnutrition security
dc.subjectfertilizers
dc.subjectseeds
dc.subjecthouseholds
dc.subjectfertilizer formulations
dc.subjectagricultural transformation
dc.subjectcash crops
dc.subjectnutrition
dc.subjectsoil quality
dc.subjectfood security
dc.subjectgrowth
dc.subjectyield factors
dc.subjectstatistical methods
dc.subjectdietary diversity
dc.titleAgricultural intensification in Ethiopia: Patterns, trends, and welfare impacts
dc.typeWorking Paper

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Instituto Internacional de Investigación sobre Políticas Alimentarias (IFPRI)