China has reached the Lewis turning point

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dc.creatorZhang, Xiaobo
dc.creatorYang, Jin
dc.creatorWang, Shenglin
dc.date2010
dc.date2024-10-01T13:56:38Z
dc.date2024-10-01T13:56:38Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:33:16Z
dc.descriptionIn the past several years, labor shortages in China have become an issue. However, there is heated debate as to whether China has passed the Lewis turning point and moved from a period of unlimited supply to a new era of labor shortage. Most empirical studies on this topic focus on estimation of total labor supply and demand. Yet the poor quality of China's labor statistics leaves the debate open. In this paper, China's position along the Lewis continuum is examined though primary surveys of wage rates, which offer a more reliable statistic than employment data. Our results show a clear rising trend in real wage rates since 2003. The acceleration of real wages even in slack seasons indicates that the era of surplus labor is over. This finding has important policy implications for China's future development.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/153558
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/107641
dc.languageen
dc.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Institute
dc.relationhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2011.07.002
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceZhang, Xiaobo; Yang, Jin; Wang, Shenglin. 2010. China has reached the Lewis turning point. IFPRI Discussion Paper 977. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153558
dc.subjecteconomic dualism
dc.subjectsurpluses
dc.subjectmodels
dc.subjectlabour market
dc.subjectsupply balance
dc.subjectremuneration
dc.subjectchild care
dc.subjectgender
dc.titleChina has reached the Lewis turning point
dc.typeWorking Paper

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Instituto Internacional de Investigación sobre Políticas Alimentarias (IFPRI)