The impact of technical change in agriculture on human fertility: district-level evidence from India

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dc.creatorVosti, Stephen A.
dc.creatorWitcover, Julie
dc.creatorLipton, Michael
dc.date1994
dc.date2024-10-24T12:45:52Z
dc.date2024-10-24T12:45:52Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:35:22Z
dc.descriptionGreen Revolution technologies were developed and promoted to boost food supplies and foster development, both of which were expected to create breathing space for achieving demographic transitions in developing countries through lowered human fertility. Little comprehensive research, however, has been done on the effects of those technologies themselves on human fertility -- leaving unanswered the question of whether particular types of agricultural technologies were actually increasing, or decreasing, this demographic "breathing space." This paper uses District-level data from rural India on agricultural change (from 1961 to 1981) and changes in human fertility (from 1971 to 1981) to assess the impact of the former on the latter, with particular emphasis on high yielding (HYV) Green Revolution technologies. Modifying a conceptual framework derived from theory on the determinants of fertility, and estimating a reduced form model that explicitly accounts for endogeneity of real wage growth, we find that, while socio-cultural and demographic factors were the strongest determinants of fertility change: a) Green Revolution and related technologies did have an impact on fertility change; b) that the magnitude and direction of this impact was technology specific; and c) that the impact was only partially due to the effect of the new technologies on changes in real wage growth.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/156859
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/108720
dc.languageen
dc.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Institute
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceVosti, Stephen A.; Witcover, Julie; Lipton, Michael. 1994. The impact of technical change in agriculture on human fertility: district-level evidence from India. EPTD Discussion Paper 5. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/156859
dc.subjectgreen revolution
dc.subjectgreen technology
dc.subjectfertility
dc.subjectagricultural innovation
dc.titleThe impact of technical change in agriculture on human fertility: district-level evidence from India
dc.typeWorking Paper

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Instituto Internacional de Investigación sobre Políticas Alimentarias (IFPRI)