Firm Heterogeneity and the Impact of Payroll Taxes

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World Bank, Washington, DC

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This paper studies the impact of a large payroll tax cut for older workers in Hungary. Motivated by the predictions of a standard equilibrium job search model, the paper examines the heterogeneous impact of the policy. Employment increases most at low-productivity firms offering low-wage jobs, which tend to hire from unemployment, while the effects are more muted for high-productivity firms offering high-wage jobs. At the same time, wages only increase at high-productivity firms. These results point to important heterogeneity in the incidence of payroll tax cuts across firms and highlight that payroll taxes have a significant impact on the composition of jobs in the labor market.

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PAYROLL TAX, TAX INCIDENCE, FIRM HETROGENEITY, LABOR MARKET, OLDER WORKERS, UNEMPLOYMENT, EMPLOYMENT OF OLDER WORKERS

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