The FAO Global Fibre Supply Study - Assumptions, Methods, Models and Definitions

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In late 1995 at the request of the Advisory Committee on Paper and Wood Products the FAO Forestry Department initiated the Global Fibre Supply Study (GFSS) with an outlook to 2010 and beyond. The forest industry community and the public raise the question: Where is the raw material going to come from to cover our forest products needs? To help address this question, the overall study goal has been to "contribute to the world-wide forest policy development through the provision of reliable data, information and analysis of industrial fibre sources". The purpose of this particular working paper is to describe the assumptions, methods, model development and definitions used for the GFSS. It is intended to serve as a guide to the technical underpinnings of the study. It is probably most useful to analysts who wish to understand the details of our approach and it will also help in the further development and management of the database and provide the essential details for improving the su pply models. The study output is also described and it consists of two main components: the forest resource database and a fibre supply model used for examining alternative futures.

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