Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Honduras

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dc.creatorSanders, Arie
dc.creatorThomas, Timothy S.
dc.creatorRios, Ana R.
dc.creatorDunston, Shahnila
dc.date2019-04-19
dc.date2024-06-21T09:07:40Z
dc.date2024-06-21T09:07:40Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:28:17Z
dc.descriptionWe use both biophysical and bioeconomic models to assess the impact of climate change on Honduran agriculture out to 2050. We find that for some key crops, such as maize and sugarcane, yield reductions will likely be larger in Honduras than most of the rest of the world will experience. We argue that the highest-value crop for Honduras—coffee—may also be the hardest hit by climate change. Maize is projected to have a productivity loss of around 12 percent as a direct result of climate change, but because of increased prices from climate change, yields are projected to only decline by 9 percent, as farmers will invest more in productivity. Beans are projected to lose 10 percent in yield, even after adjusting for the increased investment in productivity by farmers. Livestock may also experience productivity shocks due to climate change, particularly in the southern part of the country. We make recommendations to policy makers to enact appropriate policies to help farmers adapt to the various productivity losses that would otherwise be experienced because of climate change.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/146594
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/105385
dc.languageen
dc.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Institute
dc.relationhttps://cgspace.cgiar.org/items/ae072d18-eb29-421f-abd1-cc279f240d03
dc.relationhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/146591
dc.relationhttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133209
dc.relationhttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133211
dc.relationhttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133213
dc.relationhttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133214
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceSanders, Arie; Thomas, Timothy S.; Rios, Ana R.; and Dunston, Shahnila. 2019. Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Honduras. IFPRI Discussion Paper 1827. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146594
dc.subjectmodels
dc.subjectmathematical models
dc.subjectagricultural policies
dc.subjectsugar cane
dc.subjectmaize
dc.subjectcrop yield
dc.subjectagriculture
dc.subjectclimate change adaptation
dc.subjectcoffee
dc.subjectfood security
dc.subjectpoverty
dc.subjectcrop modelling
dc.subjectfood insecurity
dc.subjectclimate change
dc.titleClimate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Honduras
dc.typeWorking Paper

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Instituto Internacional de Investigación sobre Políticas Alimentarias (IFPRI)