Leading Economic Determinants of Foreign Trade Volume in Turkish Agriculture Sector
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We empirically analyze the main economic factors affecting the export and import levels in Turkish agriculture sector. Using monthly time series of certain domestic and
international variables, we make three complementary analysis; namely, principal
component analysis, causality and co-integration analysis, and multivariate GARCH
analysis. The empirical findings point out the fact that foreign trade volume in Turkish
agriculture sector is statistically in relation with agricultural production, consumer price index, market capitalization of the firms, and international agriculture prices.