When expectations become aspirations: Reference-dependent preferences and liquidity constraints

dc.creatorKramer, Berber
dc.date2015-03-26
dc.date2024-08-01T02:52:22Z
dc.date2024-08-01T02:52:22Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:10:48Z
dc.descriptionA large body of literature suggests that consumers derive utility from gains and losses relative to a reference point. This paper shows that such reference dependence can affect savings in opposite directions depending on whether people face liquidity constraints. Existing models for wealth and intertemporal choice predict that reference dependence reduces savings but these models abstract from liquidity constraints. Introducing a liquidity constraint, I find that reference dependence can increase optimal savings for people without access to credit. Liquidity constraints force them to take part of an income loss in early periods, which may induce those who are reference dependent to concentrate the full loss in early periods and save in order to eliminate future losses. Further, anticipating a liquidity constraint raises the expected level of future consumption and thus the expectations-based reference point for future periods, creating a second savings motive. This underscores the impact that financial market imperfections can have when applying reference-dependent models in low-income settings.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/150570
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/96894
dc.languageen
dc.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Institute
dc.relationhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/150122
dc.relationhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/149808
dc.relationhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/153047
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceKramer, Berber. 2015. When expectations become aspirations: Reference-dependent preferences and liquidity constraints. IFPRI Discussion Paper 1431. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/150570
dc.subjectmicroeconomics
dc.subjecthouseholds
dc.subjectcapital markets
dc.subjectassets
dc.subjectdecision making
dc.subjectsavings
dc.subjectfinance
dc.titleWhen expectations become aspirations: Reference-dependent preferences and liquidity constraints
dc.typeWorking Paper

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