Natural Disasters and Fiscal Drought

dc.creatorMilivojevic, Lazar
dc.date2023-02-14T16:01:20Z
dc.date2023-03-06T15:54:05Z
dc.date2023-02-14T16:01:20Z
dc.date2023-03-06T15:54:05Z
dc.date2023-02
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-01T00:35:30Z
dc.descriptionThis paper examines to what extent slowdowns in economic growth after natural disasters are accompanied by widening fiscal deficits and corresponding pressures on public debt. Empirical analysis based on exogenous measures of physical disaster intensity shows that natural disasters lead not only to output losses but also to further deterioration of countries’ fiscal positions. The effects are persistent and driven by developments in emerging markets and developing economies. A dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model is used to show the propagation mechanism of an extreme event that affects agricultural productivity. The model features farmers endowed with land with time-varying productivity subject to economic and weather conditions. Simulation results illustrate the climate-fiscal nexus existence and highlight the role of structural resilience in limiting the impact of natural disasters.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.formattext/plain
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099522502072316483/IDU07bc00319084e604479091310142907db69fd
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/39416
dc.identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-10298
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/406838
dc.languageEnglish
dc.languageen
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relationPolicy Research Working Papers;10298
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.rightsWorld Bank
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL IMPACT OF NATURAL DISASTERS
dc.subjectCLIMATE-FISCAL NEXUS
dc.subjectSTRUCTURAL RESILIENCE
dc.subjectNATURAL DISASTERS
dc.subjectFISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE
dc.titleNatural Disasters and Fiscal Drought
dc.typeWorking Paper
dc.typeDocument de travail
dc.typeDocumento de trabajo

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