Probabilities of Success for Netherlands Dairy Farmers Moving Operations to the U.S.

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The probability of success for an immigrating Dutch dairy farmer was analyzed using a whole farm simulation model. Data used to simulate the U.S. farms came from the AFPC's database of representative U.S. dairies and projected mean annual prices from FAPRI. Data on the Dutch dairy used for analysis came from Department of Agriculture, Nature, and Food Safety, the Agricultural Economics Institute, and research from Wageningen University in the Netherlands. Results indicate that Dutch dairy farmers with adequate equity are better off financially immigrating to the U.S., rather than staying in the Netherlands.

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