The potential impact of climate change on Taiwan's agriculture
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This paper intends to estimate tbe potential impact of climate change on Taiwan's agricultural sector. Yield response regression
models are used to investigate the climate change's impact on 60 crops. A price-endogenous mathematical programming
model is tben used to simulate tbe welfare impacts of yield changes under various climate change scenarios. Results suggest
that both warming and climate variations have a significant but non-monotonic impact on crop yields. Society as a whole
would not suffer from warming, but a precipitation increase may be devastating to farmers.© 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All
rights reserved.