Welfare and Distributional Impacts of Inflation and the COVID-19 Outbreak in the Islamic Republic of Iran

dc.creatorRodriguez, Laura
dc.creatorAtamanov, Aziz
dc.date2021-03-04T14:03:33Z
dc.date2021-03-04T14:03:33Z
dc.date2021-03
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-01T00:39:41Z
dc.descriptionThis paper simulates the welfare and poverty impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic in the Islamic Republic of Iran, emphasizing the role of inflation, which lowered the purchasing power of households and had heterogeneous impacts across the distribution and in different regions of the country. First, income losses are estimated with a microsimulation analysis based on shock scenarios. Second, combining data on price changes with expenditure baskets for various groups of households, group-specific price indices are calculated. These are then applied to the post-shock income changes to assess the deterioration of living standards associated with inflation. Poverty substantially increases, by up to 21 percentage points, as a combined result of the fall in household incomes and high inflation through the pandemic. Iranians in the bottom half of the welfare distribution, those working in services and high-contact economic sectors, and those in rural areas are disproportionately affected.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.formattext/plain
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/288661614696489389/Welfare-and-Distributional-Impacts-of-Inflation-and-the-COVID-19-Outbreak-in-the-Islamic-Republic-of-Iran
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/35207
dc.identifier10.1596/1813-9450-9558
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/408563
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relationPolicy Research Working Paper;No. 9558
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.rightsWorld Bank
dc.subjectINFLATION
dc.subjectPOVERTY
dc.subjectINEQUALITY
dc.subjectMICROSIMULATION
dc.subjectDISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACT
dc.subjectCORONAVIRUS
dc.subjectCOVID-19
dc.subjectPANDEMIC IMPACT
dc.titleWelfare and Distributional Impacts of Inflation and the COVID-19 Outbreak in the Islamic Republic of Iran
dc.typeWorking Paper
dc.typeDocument de travail
dc.typeDocumento de trabajo

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