Economic Development in Emerging Asian Markets : Implications for Europe

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The impacts of faster growth in China and India for Europe are analysed taking into account terms-of-trade effects, second-best welfare impacts and improvements in product quality and variety. More rapid growth in these giants could improve Europe's terms of trade, but second-best effects on energy markets could lower welfare unless these taxes are Pigovian. Whether growth arises from productivity or capital accumulation has important implications, with capital-driven growth involving higher energy and agricultural prices. When quality and variety growth are taken into account, the benefits to Europe are substantially greater. If agricultural protection in emerging Asia increases with growth, the impacts on Europe appear to be adverse but small.

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Capital, Investment, Capacity E220, Country and Industry Studies of Trade F140, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development O110, International Linkages to Development, Role of International Organizations O190, Measurement of Economic Growth, Aggregate Productivity, Cross-Country Output Convergence O470, Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: National Income, Product, and Expenditure, Money, Inflation P240, Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions: International Trade, Finance, Investment, and Aid P330

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