An Empirical Analysis of Typhoons and Crime Rates in Taiwan
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Climate change and variability leads to more frequent and more intensive extreme weather events, such as severe storms and droughts. Due to the special geographic location, Taiwan suffers from serious typhoons frequently, which further threaten the social stability and public security. Using detailed daily-county level data, we examine the impact of typhoons on crime rates in Taiwan and find that with respect to weak-intensity strike, medium-intensity strike significantly increases the rate of automobile theft and motorcycle theft. With dynamic model regression, we find that medium- or strong- intensity strike will statistically significantly decrease the crime rate of drug by 0.11 incidents per 100,000 persons.