Genetically Modified Rice Adoption: Implications for Welfare and Poverty Alleviation
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World Bank, Washington, D.C.
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The first generation of genetically
modified (GM) crop varieties sought to increase producer
profitability through cost reductions or higher yields,
while the next generation of GM food research is focusing on
breeding for attributes of interest to consumers. Golden
Rice, for example, has been genetically engineered to
contain a higher level of vitamin A and thereby boost the
health of poor people in developing countries. This paper
analyzes the potential economic effects of adopting both
types of innovation in Asia, including its impact on rice
producers and consumers. It does so using the global
economy-wide computable general equilibrium model known as
GTAP. The results suggest the farm productivity gains could
be dwarfed by the welfare gains resulting from the potential
health-enhancing attributes of golden rice, which would
boost the productivity of unskilled workers among
Asia's poor.
Palabras clave
BIOTECHNOLOGY, GENETICALLY MODIFIED ORGANISMS, REGULATION, TRADE POLICIES, COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODELS
